In Minnesota, Dems only have two year trifecta during the past three decades (user search)
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  In Minnesota, Dems only have two year trifecta during the past three decades (search mode)
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Author Topic: In Minnesota, Dems only have two year trifecta during the past three decades  (Read 1819 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


« on: December 18, 2021, 09:31:47 AM »

Im told the MN Democrats are the strongest state party in the nation.

If they are so strong why couldn’t they win the state senate in 2020?  All they needed to do was beat an incumbent Republican in a double digit Biden Rochester district.  If the shoe was on the other foot and Republicans needed to beat a Dem in a double digit Trump district, that Democrat would have lost easily.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2022, 10:40:36 AM »

How likely is it that Republicans will sweep the remaining legislative seats in the Iron Range that they don't already control? 

I’d say pretty likely for the ones that don’t contain a significant part of Duluth.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2022, 09:13:46 PM »

If the presidency flips in 2024 they’ll probably finally get the trifecta in 2026.
They can't even do that in 2018. If 2026 is a DeSantis midterm, the blue wave is very likely smaller than 2018.

They didn’t get a trifecta in 2018 because the State Senate wasn’t up in 2018.

Yes.  If it was up they likely would have won it.  They mainly failed in 2020 because they inexcusably couldn’t beat a Republican incumbent in a double digit Biden district in Rochester that should have been a layup.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2022, 07:25:20 AM »

If the presidency flips in 2024 they’ll probably finally get the trifecta in 2026.
They can't even do that in 2018. If 2026 is a DeSantis midterm, the blue wave is very likely smaller than 2018.

They didn’t get a trifecta in 2018 because the State Senate wasn’t up in 2018.

Yes.  If it was up they likely would have won it.  They mainly failed in 2020 because they inexcusably couldn’t beat a Republican incumbent in a double digit Biden district in Rochester that should have been a layup.

They also lost two of their own seats. One was basically a fluke 2016 win reverting to form and the other was an ancestral D but double-digit Trump seat that was trending away from them rapidly.

Yeah, but the seats of their own that they lost were to be expected based on how strongly Trump won them.  They simply needed more pickups in strong Biden districts.
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