Latino Decisions , the gold standard of Latino polling says otherwise.
Well, 1 being right against 4 is unlikely. An advantage it does have is that it is a full poll which targets Hispanics specifically, while these are subsampled. Subsample margin of error shouldn't really account for 20-30% shifts, though.
If Obama is still really in the mid-60s with Hispanics, then that means Obama's support in these polls are understated. If Obama gets back into the mid 60s in Hispanics who turnout, he'll win. If Romney can touch 40, it's quite possible he will win.
A movement of Hispanics more than any other group could also explain why Romney has not made huge inroads in Ohio (only 3% Hispanic) during this bump yet Colorado, Florida, Nevada are starting to move closer. The most recent California poll shows Romney at 41%. Even Virginia and North Carolina are 8-9% Latino states, far more than Ohio.
ll agree with you , if Romney hits 40% he will most certainty take Colorado, Florida and come close in Nevada and win the popular vote.
Chuck Todd was right , he said on Morning Joe the other day that Hispanics may just"save" Obama
