Should democrats give up on NC and focus elsewhere? (user search)
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  Should democrats give up on NC and focus elsewhere? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Should democrats give up on NC and focus elsewhere?  (Read 1415 times)
super6646
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« on: October 16, 2017, 02:57:11 PM »
« edited: October 16, 2017, 05:17:07 PM by super6646 »

Even Georgia is looking like more of a potential target in the near future, especially with how poor Trump did in the Atlanta suburbs. NC has been swinging back to the GOP every cycle, and even though Clinton spent millions and campaigned heavily in the state, it didn't even trend .2% towards the democrats this cycle, and thats with the massive swings that occured in Wake and Mecklemberg (which may or may not hold up over time). Barring a 6-7% democrat landslide, I just don't see NC flipping. So should democrats focus elsewhere, or keep trying to pull another Virginia?
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super6646
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Posts: 612
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2017, 05:14:44 PM »

If anything they should give up on OH/IA and focus more on the sunbelt of NC/AZ where they performed better, particularly in AZ where the election was closer than NC with a fraction of the capital investment.

In 2024 sure, but in 2020 they should focus on 270. The reason Trump dropped so much in Arizona was due to the white vote - something he could pick back up in 2020.

Exactly. Trump did better with Hispanics than Romney. If Trump could get Romney's white vote share, it would've been a 10 point victory at least. While I do believe Arizona will go more in New Mexico's direction over time, the GOP will still have an advantage in the near future.

Giving up on Ohio and Iowa is a big deal. It also means that PA, MI, WI, and MN are proabably competitive too, and winning Arizona and NC wouldn't be able to offset that.
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super6646
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Posts: 612
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2017, 07:19:39 PM »

Sanders was never attacked, so he has high favorable ratings. But there is so much dirt on him it's mind blowing.

The Washington Post was only running 16 hit pieces a day against Bernie. Clearly you need 17 to have it count as being attacked.

Sorry, but even those on the left know the Washington Post is little more than an opinion piece with "news" sprinkled in. I cannot stand some of the stupitidy that comes from that website.
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super6646
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Posts: 612
Canada


« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2017, 09:17:48 PM »


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-probably-did-better-with-latino-voters-than-romney-did/
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