Changing presidential map or not? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 12:46:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Changing presidential map or not? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Changing presidential map or not?  (Read 5491 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: April 28, 2007, 03:54:48 PM »

Hmm. I think the '08 map will look quite a bit different than in 2000 and 2004. I agree with some others here that MO is currently "Lean Republican" (the April Bush approval was at 38% in that state, which is high IMO).

OR, MN, PA, MI should be "Lean Democrat" right now. (~5% in favor)

I also tend to say that IA, NM and NH are "Slightly Democrat" (2-5%)

This leaves NV, CO and OH as the main battlegrounds for 2008. (+/-2%)

The rest, AR, WV, VA, NC and FL are also "Lean Republican". (~5%)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2007, 12:27:09 AM »

Hmm. I think the '08 map will look quite a bit different than in 2000 and 2004. I agree with some others here that MO is currently "Lean Republican" (the April Bush approval was at 38% in that state, which is high IMO).

OR, MN, PA, MI should be "Lean Democrat" right now. (~5% in favor)

I also tend to say that IA, NM and NH are "Slightly Democrat" (2-5%)

This leaves NV, CO and OH as the main battlegrounds for 2008. (+/-2%)

The rest, AR, WV, VA, NC and FL are also "Lean Republican". (~5%)

So how will '08 be "quite different" than '04? You have all the competitive states going the same way they went three years ago, with a slight bump for the Dems.

And ? Iīm not a fortune teller. Do you expect me to make Nebraska competetive ?  Wink I canīt change the physics of Presidential Elections. For me it is "quite different" if OH, NV and CO flip at the same time to the Dems in '08. But thatīs all worth nothing if thereīs some kind of landslide (which I do not assume) and it certainly depends on the candidates.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 10 queries.