New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever (user search)
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  New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever (search mode)
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Author Topic: New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever  (Read 3457 times)
Virginiá
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« on: May 25, 2016, 01:06:51 PM »

I have to hand it to them, the Republican party is brutally efficient at alienating non-white voters. I wonder how they intend to fix this downward trend. Sneak into white women's houses at night and secretly impregnate them to create a white baby boom and reverse the current grueling demographic marginalization?
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Virginiá
Virginia
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2016, 11:01:48 PM »

Honestly not important. Asians are demographically moribund and not likely to become electorally relevant anytime soon.

Not yet, and probably not for some time on their own, but they are part of a broader, growing coalition where smaller but very reliable groups of Democratic minority voters form a large set of voters who combine to make a potent voting bloc. Hispanics and Asians are low turnout but a lot of investment (of which Democrats doing this year due to Trump), and a controversial, divisive figure, ...like Trump, can make these voters even more consistently Democratic. It's not like that has happened before.

What happens when Hispanics and Asians start voting like African Americans? It doesn't have to be 90%+, 80%, which given the last election's numbers is very possible. 80% support for Democrats that is highly resistant to Republican efforts is a terrible situation for the GOP. Hispanic and Asian turnout won't always be low - Additional complexities and small investment / less engagement keep turnout low, and that is now changing for Hispanics.

When your (GOP) coalition is rapidly shrinking by the year, you can't afford to savagely alienate the fastest growing demographics. This election could set them back decades with minority outreach and put them at a big disadvantage in presidential elections going forward.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2016, 07:21:45 PM »
« Edited: May 28, 2016, 07:28:19 PM by Virginia »

Um no party ID has mostly remained the same since 1992 with the Dems having a 6 point lead over Republicans or party ID being tied per Gallup except for 2007-2008 maybe.

Millennials (those pesky voters who will make up almost half the eligible voters in 2020) are overwhelmingly Democratic and minorities, the fastest growing demographics are getting close to unanimously Democratic at this point. The GOP's coalition is essentially whites only with what, 10% of their party being non-white? On top of that, their coalition is disproportionately older. A lily white coalition in a country where the white voter's share of the electorate is dropping at roughly 2% - 2.5% every 4 years.

Republicans have a large new voter / demographic problem. There is no disputing this.

Ha Ha no. Birth Rates are pretty even with each ethnicity now that the Hispanic(Mexican Baby Boom) died when the Housing Bubble went bust.  

I'm unsure what your point is? If you mean the birth rates are now evenly divided between white and non-white births, then sure:

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/06/04/are-minority-births-the-majority-yet/

This shows exactly how fast this country is diversifying, given the race of babies born 40 years ago. That is pretty bad news for Republicans if they keep going backwards in minority outreach. My joke implied a white baby boom to put white baby births significantly further ahead of non-white births...
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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*****
Posts: 18,896
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2016, 12:38:25 PM »

If Republicans want to take back this demographic, then they better do it quick and effectively. The strongest Democratic support is coming from Asian Millennials, and if Republicans can't break their political leanings now then they are looking at a lost generation of Asian American voters:



A voting bloc as small as Asians typically isn't that powerful, that is, unless the margins are as lopsided as they are looking above. Those kinds of ratings for Republicans are among the lowest of any demographic for the GOP. And no, the vast majority of these voters are not going to "wake up" and turn more conservative Republican as they age Roll Eyes
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