Rounds is ahead of 50, leading by double-digits, in a Republican state where the undecideds will probably break in his favor. I don't understand what everyone is tearing out their hair over; if you set ND 2010 as a standard for a clear lead you'll be disappointed all the time. Very Safe R.
Nobody is tearing out their hair. It's just ridiculous that a very popular ex-Governor in a very conservative state is up by FOURTEEN against an absolute TOTAL unknown. Of course it's safe R, but just strange that he's not up by 30.