CO-Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D): Clinton leads Trump by 10 (user search)
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  CO-Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D): Clinton leads Trump by 10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D): Clinton leads Trump by 10  (Read 3878 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: March 02, 2016, 01:00:55 PM »

Hillary isnt a good fit for CO, but Trump is an awful fit in a very educated state. Few old factory towns for him to thrive in in CO.

I would love to have seen how Sanders does and how both do against Cruz, Kasich, and Rubio... but even if there is a D bias in the pollster, a 10% advantage is good enough to suggest that Colorado will be troublesome for Republicans.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2016, 05:21:55 PM »

Clinton is holding CO, but 10 its extreme, shes probably ahead, its gonna be close. Good news for Bennett.

I have good cause to doubt whether Colorado has gone for a Democratic nominee for President by 10% or more since 1964.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2016, 08:15:28 PM »


Reasonable enough. 49% is close to what either Clinton or Sanders could get in Colorado, even with an excellent GOTV campaign, barring a complete collapse of Donald Trump.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2016, 08:21:57 AM »

Obama got 51%, her ceiling is not 49% vs Trump

51% wins for anyone. But she is far closer to getting 51% than Trump is. If she is at 49-39 in September she has about a 90% chance of winning. She would not need as strong a GOTV drive as Trump will.

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2016, 04:49:30 PM »

Alot of people forget that CO, is a working class, Latino state. It has voted with natl average in 2008& 2012. The Latino vote has come back hard against Trump,  which was expected. But, Clinton is also keeping it close in Va & Ohio. Which is a little bit surprising, because Appalachia is a GOP stronghold, but not in Presidential years.

Obama got absolutely crushed in the southwestern corner of Virginia, the Appalachian part of Virginia. He won because of the urban vote around DC and Richmond.

A recent poll suggests that John Kasich would do better than other Republicans, in fact beating Hillary Clinton... but Kasich does less to offend well-educated people. Appalachia has been trending R for a long time.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2016, 09:33:16 PM »

PPP has a poll for Ohio being taken this weekend. I have asked that a Clinton- Romney- Trump matchup be tried.

We shall see soon enough whether Ohio is friendly to Donald Trump.
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