Why is Donald Trump declining in the polls?

[Torie]

Because he's basically an empty suit ahole, and the voters are getting tired of his act. And there you have it.

[Torie]

Trump's not "declining" in the polls.  He's been leading in the polls for two (2) months now.

He's where he is.  He's got the largest group of backers of any candidate.  Most people want someone else, but that's true of every candidate.

Trump's a target; folks are ganging up against him.  We know what that's really about; it's about the continuing hegemony of the present Political Class in the GOP Establishment.  Trump has put that on the line.

You honestly don't believe Trump has declined in the polls from his peak? More importantly, the percentage of Pubs who dislike him is moving back up considerably.

[Torie]

Torie, if anything this is Trump feeling out his floor. Rather than being in free-fall, he declined from the low thirties to the mid-20s and stopped.Trump's lost his soft support, but soft support can be regained. Rather, we've learned that he has a rather impressively solid base of just over 20%.

A 20% floor won't win you the nomination. Anyway, you might want to check out Nate Silver's article on the matter if you haven't already read it.

[Torie]

Also on my chart, poor Lindsey, negative support, time to drop out bud

How did happen?

He's probably rounding to tenths of a percent, and rounding up for some candidates got him to over a 100% total, so poor Lindsay needed to go negative to get the books to balance.