2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This piece is mostly on VA, but has some mentions of NJ: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/signs-and-portents/

[Suburbia]

It looks like Somerset County, N.J. may be a battleground state between Guadagno and Murphy, especially with the Somerset County Republican Freeholder 2017 campaign attacking their Democratic opponents with some tough advertising.

http://www.nj.com/somerset/index.ssf/2017/10/local_gop_political_ad_racially_divisive_us_rep_sa.html

[TheSaint250]

It looks like Somerset County, N.J. may be a battleground state between Guadagno and Murphy, especially with the Somerset County Republican Freeholder 2017 campaign attacking their Democratic opponents with some tough advertising.

http://www.nj.com/somerset/index.ssf/2017/10/local_gop_political_ad_racially_divisive_us_rep_sa.html

From what it looks like, they were literally only talking about policies of the candidates.

[MT Treasurer]

Any guess on who will win Morris and Gloucester County?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Bump, as this is happening today.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Kim Impossible is going to win bigly tonight.

[BudgieForce]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

[DFL]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

Pretty low turnout so far, right? Probably benefits Murphy.

Any chance the near-certainty of a Murphy win will hurt his margin?

[MAINEiac4434]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

It'll get called the moment the polls close.

[BudgieForce]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

Pretty low turnout so far, right? Probably benefits Murphy.

I voted about 8 o'clock but my mother just voted about an hour ago. She told me there were no lines. Strangely enough, my polling station only ever has 1 polling booth but they have two today. Maybe they thought it would be higher turnout.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

My hard hitting analysis: Murphy will win this race.

[Suburbia]

Very high Democratic turnout in Republican-friendly intelligentsia Westfield.

Bramnick and Kean could lose tonight because of Chris Christie.

https://www.insidernj.com/new-jersey-election-day-2017-nuggets-road/

[Devils30]

Anyone have a link to the AP for state legislative results in NJ and VA?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

Wait do you or your family live in Bergen County? My family lives up in Bergen County and I go there 2-3 times a year when I'm not in college!

[MT Treasurer]

Strong turnout in Sussex County

[Kamala]

Expert reports: Heavy rain has washed Christie out to sea.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Interesting exit poll, per MSNBC:

11% say vote was to support Trump
29% say vote was to oppose Trump
57% say Trump not a factor

Menendez at 35-53 approvals

Republican party at 30-66 approval

[MT Treasurer]

Ideology:

43% Moderate
35% Liberal
22% Conservative

[Yank2133]

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lol

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

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lol

Yeah, this race is going to be called right at the closing.

[BudgieForce]

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lol

Funny how both parties in NJ used Italian women as their sacrificial candidate when it was clear they couldn't win. One could read alot into that. 

[BudgieForce]

Trump approval: 32/66 (-34)

If this is true (big if), Democrats will definitely outperform their polling average here.

For me atleast, it seemed pretty obvious pollsters were underestimating Murphy. Still too early to be sure, but logic would dictate an unpopular republican president and governor would sink a republican candidate.

[libertpaulian]

The big question of the night isn't who'll win but rather if Guadango can break 40%.

[BlueDogDemocrat]

The big question of the night isn't who'll win but rather if Guadango can break 40%.

Right now I see her ending up with around 41% although I think it is realistic that she gets under 40% but I doubt that it will happen.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The big question of the night isn't who'll win but rather if Guadango can break 40%.

She could outperform Trump (41.8%) But I could easily see Murphy outperforming Clinton at the same time (55.0%)