TN-MTSU: Obama down by double-digits

[Tender Branson]

Among Likely Voters:

48-30 Romney
45-30 Perry
44-30 Cain

Between 11 and 15 percent of likely voters volunteered that they would vote for neither Obama nor the Republican candidate in the question, and between 11 and 14 percent said that they didn’t know whom they would vote for or refused to answer, depending on the question.

Fully 63 percent now say that they disapprove of the job that the president is doing, while only 30 percent say they approve, with the rest saying they don’t know whether they approve or disapprove, or refusing to answer the question.

...

Poll interviews were conducted by telephone Oct. 3-14, 2011 by students in the College of Mass Communication at Middle Tennessee State University. Students interviewed 640 people age 18 or older chosen at random from the state population. The poll has an estimated error margin of ± 4 percentage points at the 95 percent level of confidence

http://mtsusurveygroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/MTSU_Poll_Fall2011_Report.pdf

[The Vorlon]

In 2000 Tennessee was a swing state.

The times they are a chang'in

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uq4pe0cKQc0

[Eraserhead]

In 2000 Tennessee was a swing state.

The times they are a chang'in

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uq4pe0cKQc0

In 2000, the Democrat was also from Tennessee and white!

Nice choice of video.

[Landslide Lyndon]

In 2000 Tennessee was a swing state.

The times they are a chang'in

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uq4pe0cKQc0

And in 1992 Vermont had voted for a Democrat only once since 1856.

[King]

In 2000, North Carolina and Virginia were solidly Republican.

[DrScholl]

Yes, it's breaking news that Tennessee votes differently than it did a decade ago. That was something no one knew at all....

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Clinton couldn't pull 50% in Tennessee when he won it, and it went solidly for Bush in 2000.  Why?  I will never understand.  But this definitely isn't a state where Obama should spend his money on.

Also, in '88 and '92, Connecticut was a swing state...

[memphis]

Between 11 and 15 percent of likely voters volunteered that they would vote for neither Obama nor the Republican candidate in the question

They are likely voters but will not vote for either major party? Is there a non-negligible third party I'm missing?

[pbrower2a]

Yes, it's breaking news that Tennessee votes differently than it did a decade ago. That was something no one knew at all....

I remember when I thought of Tennessee as the most progressive state in the South except perhaps for Florida (which really isn't a Southern state). It had Senators Al Gore and Jim Sasser. That is over.  A liberal might be elected as mayor of Memphis, a liberal enclave in a very right-wing state.

Sure, President Barack Obama, as an intellectual and a city-slicker, is a poor match for this very rural state.

 

[memphis]

Yes, it's breaking news that Tennessee votes differently than it did a decade ago. That was something no one knew at all....

I remember when I thought of Tennessee as the most progressive state in the South except perhaps for Florida (which really isn't a Southern state). It had Senators Al Gore and Jim Sasser. That is over.  A liberal might be elected as mayor of Memphis, a liberal enclave in a very right-wing state.

Sure, President Barack Obama, as an intellectual and a city-slicker, is a poor match for this very rural state.

 

Memphis is not liberal so much as it is ghetto. There is some overlap in attitudes, but it's a completely different dynamic than a truly liberal city like Seattle. And Tennessee isn't that rural. Most people live in one of a few metro areas. Unless you're defining suburban Chattanooga or the Tri-Cities as rural. What you have in Tennessee are cities that lean Dem only slightly (Memphis excluded) and suburbs that are overwhelmingly GOP.