2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191463 times)
Progressive Pessimist
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Posts: 33,671
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Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« on: January 13, 2020, 06:54:14 PM »
I hope that Buttigieg or Warren leads the next Iowa poll, just to add to the chaos. Oh, no, no wait! Klobuchar should lead!
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Progressive Pessimist
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*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2020, 08:00:33 PM »
Concentration of caucus-goers based on their preferred candidate?

Location of campaign offices and/or organizers?
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Progressive Pessimist
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Posts: 33,671
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Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2020, 06:54:40 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on January 25, 2020, 02:10:55 PM
Can't wait. I just want Iowa to happen already.

Me too. It's going to be the first election in awhile where I don't actively care about the results and can just sit back and watch it unfold.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #3 on: February 21, 2020, 07:52:28 PM »
Quote from: Illini Moderate on February 20, 2020, 01:42:04 PM
Quote from: kriksB on February 20, 2020, 12:22:49 PM
Wow. Not one Dem beating Trump in Wisconsin. Lost cause. Better to focus on the sun belt now

It's only one poll. I wouldn't call it a lost cause and just throw it in the bin because of that

Definitely not. Democrats need to fight tooth-and-nail for Wisconsin no matter how bleak it looks. The election will be determined by it. If they concede it to Trump they might as well just inaugurate him again themselves.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2020, 06:28:33 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Doof on March 23, 2020, 05:07:11 PM


Considering the poll they had of Trump's record high approval ratings today, I don't know if my heart can take a favorable match-up poll for Trump when this comes out.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2020, 06:52:03 PM »
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 23, 2020, 06:50:52 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:28:33 PM
Quote from: Comrade Doof on March 23, 2020, 05:07:11 PM


Considering the poll they had of Trump's record high approval ratings today, I don't know if my heart can take a favorable match-up poll for Trump when this comes out.
I think it will have Biden up 3-4. I really hope so, at least.

That's still way too close for comfort!
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #6 on: March 24, 2020, 06:10:16 PM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on March 23, 2020, 06:53:42 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:52:03 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 23, 2020, 06:50:52 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:28:33 PM
Quote from: Comrade Doof on March 23, 2020, 05:07:11 PM


Considering the poll they had of Trump's record high approval ratings today, I don't know if my heart can take a favorable match-up poll for Trump when this comes out.
I think it will have Biden up 3-4. I really hope so, at least.

That's still way too close for comfort!
Yeah, but on the other hand I don't think Trump will actually be at even approval on election day.

Your prediction was correct.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2020, 06:28:31 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 07, 2020, 05:07:49 AM
Kos has announced that Civiqs is polling Iowa and will release the results on Tuesday or Wednesday.

I predict something around Trump+5. Civiqs tends to be fairly Republican friendly.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2020, 06:54:06 PM »
Quote from: American2020 on June 10, 2020, 05:00:14 PM


I'm glad that the campaign is doing their part to inspire hope while also trying to prevent complacency.

Also, side note: I was way off with my Civiqs prediction for their Iowa poll.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2020, 06:15:17 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 12, 2020, 09:23:51 AM
Iowa Poll!



I learned since last time, I'll go with Trump+2. 
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #10 on: June 13, 2020, 06:09:05 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 13, 2020, 06:07:39 PM
The Selzer/DMR poll won't release the presidential result until tomorrow (at least), but in the Senate race they have Greenfield leading Ernst 46-43.  This doesn't bode well for Trump.

Greenfield leading Ernst at all has been among the most surprising developments of this year's elections.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2020, 06:15:11 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 14, 2020, 06:13:35 PM

Looks like all they released tonight was the House district preferences (asked by party, not named candidate).

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/14/iowa-poll-likely-voters-prefer-democrats-3-4-u-s-house-districts/3175725001/

IA-1: D 48, R 42
IA-2: D 53, R 35
IA-3: D 52, R 36
IA-4: R 57, D 35



IA-3 more Democratic than IA-1, and that significantly? Maybe I don't know enough about Iowa, but that's somewhat surprising.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2020, 06:05:08 PM »
Quote from: ucscgaldamez1 on June 16, 2020, 09:11:03 AM
We need more polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

Same with Minnesota. I don't expect Trump to be leading there, but I am genuinely curious about how the state looks post-Floyd. I doubt it will be much different, but still, at least that would put an end to those who think the state is more competitive because of the demonstrations across the country if a poll does indeed turn out that way.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #13 on: July 17, 2020, 06:20:29 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 17, 2020, 09:16:28 AM
Looks like we'll be getting ABC/Washington Post numbers this weekend, probably not looking great for Trump based on the coronavirus numbers:



It's astounding how much good-will he squandered from March, and he was even objectively f***ing up then.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2020, 05:11:51 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 30, 2020, 12:00:52 PM
I expect a flurry of quality national polls next weekend.  The first weekend of the month is when many of the major pollsters release monthly polls, and it also allows them to be in the field this week, the first full week following the conventions.

I am both, simultaneously, greatly anticipating and dreading them.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #15 on: September 01, 2020, 06:20:44 PM »
Good, the quality polls are finally coming to put us out of our misery and cut through the noise! I don't even care what they say, I just want a more accurate idea of what the hell is happening with this race!
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #16 on: September 12, 2020, 06:29:46 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 12, 2020, 03:17:03 PM
Looks like we are getting a Quinnipiac South Carolina poll.



Tucker Carlson is a sentient hemorrhoid, but if his recent rant blaming Graham for the Woodward interview proves to have shifted the polls against Graham he will have served a positive purpose for once.
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