2020 Poll Hype Thread

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For reference, the last DM Register Poll was done in early June and these were the numbers:

Biden 24%
Sanders 16%
Warren 15%
Buttigieg 14%
Harris 7%
Klobuchar 2%
O'Rourke 2%

Everyone else at 1% or less.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/06/07/top2_ia_saturday.pdf

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Will there be a bunch of talk about how Monmouth is a junk poll because they use small samples again?

I predict that if Sanders is leading there will be. If Biden or Warren is leading, there won't be.

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I don't think Suffolk has polled Nevada before this cycle but...

These were the numbers from the last Monmouth poll of New Hampshire:

Joe Biden   36%
Bernie Sanders   18%
Pete Buttigieg   9%
Elizabeth Warren   8%
Kamala Harris   6%
Cory Booker   2%
Amy Klobuchar   2%
Beto O’Rourke   2%
John Hickenlooper   1%
Tim Ryan   1%
Andrew Yang   1%
Steve Bullock   <1%
John Delaney   <1%
Tulsi Gabbard   <1%
Kirsten Gillibrand   <1%
Marianne Williamson   <1%
Michael Bennet   0%
Julián Castro   0%
Bill de Blasio   0%
Mike Gravel   0%
Jay Inslee   0%
Wayne Messam   0%
Seth Moulton   0%
Eric Swalwell   0%
(VOL) No one   <1%
(VOL) Undecided   11%

This was done during Biden's homeymoon after announcing so I'm at least expecting his and Warren's numbers to be very different this time.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_NH_050919/

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Any idea what time the Monmouth poll drops?

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Why is this sticked instead of the Buttigieg thread?

Because most people here are more obsessed with polling data/polling hype than a milquetoast, fading presidential candidate.

lol - he is ahead of Harris now.

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Why is this sticked instead of the Buttigieg thread?

Because most people here are more obsessed with polling data/polling hype than a milquetoast, fading presidential candidate.

lol - he is ahead of Harris now.

And? Harris is a fading candidate too.

Poll hype >>> both of them.

Harris is still stickied though.

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For some reason, Nevada is always treated like red headed stepchild of the early states. It's pretty dumb especially considering what an important role it played in the 2016 Democratic Primary.

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https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/1187067412052623361

Ugh, just as Bernie was starting to catch back up a little...

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Do we know of anything noteworthy coming out this week?

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So where is this NV poll at?

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So where is this NV poll at?

4pm eastern.

Nice. Thanks.

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Quinnipiac IA poll coming at 3PM.

Interesting. Do you happen to know if this is the first time they've polled Iowa in this race?

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Quinnipiac IA poll coming at 3PM.

Interesting. Do you happen to know if this is the first time they've polled Iowa in this race?

I believe it is, yes.

Thought so. Thanks.

I'll be surprised if they don't show a strong Warren lead.

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Yang is hyping up good news in the coming week. So, he's either full of it, or we are getting a new poll soon.

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1203783533912842240

I wonder how he got that info early... sounds a little shady!

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A Bunch of CBS/YouGov  Super Tuesday polls coming Sunday.

https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1205615903133581313

It’s probably just 1 poll.

All Super Tuesday states combined, as they usually do.

Maybe they have a CA & TX poll, but I’m pretty sure they are not releasing results for VT or UT ...

It is in fact just one poll of all the Super Tuesday states. Very lame.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-battleground-tracker-biden-with-edge-in-super-tuesday-states-bloomberg-in-5th/

YouGov also continues to be strangely pro-Warren with their numbers.

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Very nice, wonder which state though?

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It's now a reasonable time to start polling again. So you would hope that we get some stuff tonight, tomorrow and/or the next day.

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Monmouth will have a NH poll tomorrow. Their last NH poll was back in September when they had Warren 27 Biden 25 Sanders 12 and Buttigieg 10

Yikes, not sure if I should hope for a Bernie lead in this one.

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What time does Monmouth usually drop new polls?

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It'd be nice to get another poll of NV or SC just to check if the Steyer surge Fox News is showing is for real.

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Pete 22, Biden 19, Warren 18 and Sanders only 13 in their last poll.

Yeah, Sanders always seems to do poorly in Monmouth's state polling for whatever reason so no idea who will lead in this poll.

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https://twitter.com/quinnipiacpoll/status/1216768117449228289

Ugh.

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New Marist national poll is coming.

National?

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New Marist national poll is coming.

National?

Unless there's something else coming, it probably refers to the monthly NPR/Marist poll that came out today.  This doesn't include GE or primary matchups.

That's lame. Thanks.

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Emerson poll of New Hampshire this evening. I know who I think will be leading!

Hopefully. Emerson's early state polling is sometimes surprising in a bad way.