ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 20, 2024, 05:03:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are  (Read 108912 times)
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: October 16, 2018, 06:07:38 PM »

Atlas logic: Cramer saying stupid sexist things on a daily basis wont matter but Heitkamp apologizing for a wrongly produced  ad will doom her.


But doesn't this state also have like a 55% to 60% Trump approval rating?

Depends on who you ask. MC has Trump at negative approval here, while Gallup has it at around 55% last I checked.

There's no way on earth Trump has a negative approval rating in ND.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 01:06:37 PM »

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 01:08:31 PM »

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

What is it with Republicans comparing corruption with pedophila?


Because Menendez is accused of pedophilia as well?
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 01:56:25 PM »

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

What is it with Republicans comparing corruption with pedophila?


Because Menendez is accused of pedophilia as well?

By right wing blogs with no credibility. There's been no mainstream exposure for this accusation. 90% of voters probably don't even know about it. It's deliberately obtuse to compare that to Roy Moore's pedophilia which nearly every single person who voted in that election knew about, and which nearly a dozen women publicly came forward and accused him of.

If there were really a double standard where Dems are judged harder, the fact that the US Attorney claimed they had corroborating evidence of the prostitution claims should alone be more than enough to sink Menendez in a far less Dem state than Alabama is GOP. If there exists a bias, then the evidence required to sink a Dem should be less than that necessary to sink a Republican in an equivalent state, of which NJ and AL are not. That's the point.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 11:04:29 PM »

Oh, and her real name isn't even Heidi. smh
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 03:38:23 PM »

45% republican likely seems too low even in a year with heightened Dem turnout, but an interesting analysis.



I’d be curious if his claim that that was the actual breakdown in the last 2-3 cycles, seeing as ND has no voter registration

Hard to say. The Pharos poll from 2012 which nailed the final ND Senate margin showed a turnout of 42 R, 27 D, 31 I. I have no doubt the composition has changed a lot since then, and the environment is very different.

The major problem with his comment is that you can't simply readjust polls like he's suggesting.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 03:56:43 PM »

Another day, another barrage of Tweets telling us how well Heitkamp is doing in private/Democratic/internal polls and that she’s actually leading here. What’s new?

Yet they never seem to release them.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2018, 03:33:58 PM »

The Dem's closing message: https://demnpl.com/by-voting-in-north-dakota-you-could-forfeit-your-hunting-licenses/

I thought only Republicans tried to suppress the vote?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 8 queries.