TN: NYT Upshot / Siena : Blackburn +14

[MT Treasurer]

Blackburn winning is believable, but her winning by 14 in a Democratic tsunami? Not really. Either this poll is an outlier or polls are underestimating GOP strength in other red states/districts.

[MT Treasurer]

Now Im wondering if running Steve Bullock in Montana against Daines is a good idea?

These states/races aren’t really comparable, though. Democrats have a much higher floor in MT, Daines is a weaker candidate than Blackburn, Bullock is the current governor and not a pol attempting to make a comeback, the MT Democratic Party is better organized than TN Dems, etc. Bullock would have to run a hilariously inept campaign for MT-SEN 2020 to be a Lean R race.