CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA (user search)
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  CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA  (Read 5535 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 07, 2016, 01:22:00 PM »

It's even better in that regard with college educated white voters. Projected figures from Cook Political has Virginia at 42.1% college educated whites vs 26.7% non-college whites. Those are very favorable figures for Democrats, given the electorate movement we have been seeing the past 2 - 3 cycles. It also helps explain why Virginia is trending Democratic so fast. Colorado has somewhat similar figures (41.6% vs 33.9%)

Also, the minority growth in Virginia is currently being powered by Asian and Hispanic voters. All these factors, in addition to what you specified, makes Virginia very friendly territory for Democrats in this cycle and going into the future.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608

That's not to mention Tim Kaine probably helps somewhat on the margins (I suspect he might be worth 1-2% in favour of Clinton). If those are really the numbers of college-educated whites, Trump is going to get destroyed in Virginia (and that's to mention the military areas where attacking the Khans will not go down well at all). If this sort of polling holds in a place like Virginia, the Clinton campaign should draw down into a ground game and move the air war to Arizona and Georgia (and maybe they should dabble into Utah as well). Hillary Clinton herself is very smart and I hope she realizes that pushing into red states puts Trump on the defensive and improves the odds of winning back both the House and Senate. If she wants to pass some major legislation, she's going to need both Houses of Congress in Democratic hands.
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