Republican OR primary results thread (polls “close” at 11pm ET)

[RI]

[Bigby]

Secret Democrat Kasich?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Secret Democrat Kasich?

Are liberals still switching parties to vote for some right-winger who dropped out?

[Mr. Morden]

Secret Democrat Kasich?

Are liberals still switching parties to vote for some right-winger who dropped out?

No.  I think it's just that Republicans with Democratic neighbors like Kasich better than Trump.

[Mr. Morden]

OK, I looked back at how Bush 2000, McCain 2008, and Romney 2012 did in primaries after all of their major opponents dropped out, as compared to how Trump is doing now.  Here are the ten worst performances by the presumptive Republican nominee in the past 20 years, after said nominee has seen every major rival drop out of the race (keep in mind that Keyes was still running until the end in 2000, as was Paul in 2012, but everyone else was already out of the race besides the presumptive nominee….in Trump’s case he doesn’t even have a Paul or a Keyes…he’s running unopposed, but still failing to reach 70%).

Trump in 2016: Nebraska 61.5%
Bush in 2000: Utah 63.3%
Romney in 2012: Indiana 64.6%
Bush in 2000: Colorado 64.7%
Romney in 2012: North Carolina 65.6%
Romney in 2012: South Dakota 66.2%
Trump in 2016: Oregon 66.8% (tentative, as they’re still counting votes)
Romney in 2012: Kentucky 66.8%
Romney in 2012: Arkansas 68.4%
Romney in 2012: Montana 68.4%

And we still have Washington next week, and then the June 7th primaries.  How many states will Trump have in the bottom 10 by the end?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

IT'S A TRUMP COUNTY SWEEP IN OREGON

[cinyc]

Cruz passes Kasich for second place in Oregon... for now...

[IceSpear]

Cruz passes Kasich for second place in Oregon... for now...

I'm guessing that won't last when the rest of Portland comes in.

[Xing]

OK, I looked back at how Bush 2000, McCain 2008, and Romney 2012 did in primaries after all of their major opponents dropped out, as compared to how Trump is doing now.  Here are the ten worst performances by the presumptive Republican nominee in the past 20 years, after said nominee has seen every major rival drop out of the race (keep in mind that Keyes was still running until the end in 2000, as was Paul in 2012, but everyone else was already out of the race besides the presumptive nominee….in Trump’s case he doesn’t even have a Paul or a Keyes…he’s running unopposed, but still failing to reach 70%).

Trump in 2016: Nebraska 61.5%
Bush in 2000: Utah 63.3%
Romney in 2012: Indiana 64.6%
Bush in 2000: Colorado 64.7%
Romney in 2012: North Carolina 65.6%
Romney in 2012: South Dakota 66.2%
Trump in 2016: Oregon 66.8% (tentative, as they’re still counting votes)
Romney in 2012: Kentucky 66.8%
Romney in 2012: Arkansas 68.4%
Romney in 2012: Montana 68.4%

And we still have Washington next week, and then the June 7th primaries.  How many states will Trump have in the bottom 10 by the end?

I'd bet Washington and South Dakota will be on that list.

[Axel Foley]

Romney 2012 in Oregon 70.9 and 204k votes; Trump at 66.9 with 79 counted, but up on votes( 211,034).

[dax00]

….in Trump’s case he doesn’t even have a Paul or a Keyes…he’s running unopposed, but still failing to reach 70%).

To be fair, mail-in votes were cast before Cruz and Kasich officially suspended.

[RI]

OK, I looked back at how Bush 2000, McCain 2008, and Romney 2012 did in primaries after all of their major opponents dropped out, as compared to how Trump is doing now.  Here are the ten worst performances by the presumptive Republican nominee in the past 20 years, after said nominee has seen every major rival drop out of the race (keep in mind that Keyes was still running until the end in 2000, as was Paul in 2012, but everyone else was already out of the race besides the presumptive nominee….in Trump’s case he doesn’t even have a Paul or a Keyes…he’s running unopposed, but still failing to reach 70%).

Trump in 2016: Nebraska 61.5%
Bush in 2000: Utah 63.3%
Romney in 2012: Indiana 64.6%
Bush in 2000: Colorado 64.7%
Romney in 2012: North Carolina 65.6%
Romney in 2012: South Dakota 66.2%
Trump in 2016: Oregon 66.8% (tentative, as they’re still counting votes)
Romney in 2012: Kentucky 66.8%
Romney in 2012: Arkansas 68.4%
Romney in 2012: Montana 68.4%

And we still have Washington next week, and then the June 7th primaries.  How many states will Trump have in the bottom 10 by the end?

I'd bet Washington and South Dakota will be on that list.

I know of at least five people who voted for Kasich here in WA already, plus my dad wrote in Sammy Hagar as he hates them all.

[cinyc]

Cruz passes Kasich for second place in Oregon... for now...

I'm guessing that won't last when the rest of Portland comes in.

It looks like it will hold.  There simply aren't enough Republican votes in Multnomah County (Portland) for the approximately 2,500-vote margin between second and third in the AP count to change much. 

The AP count via the NY Times doesn't take into account today's Multnomah (and perhaps other county) updates, but Kasich only net 13 votes on Cruz with the 2,500 or so Republican votes counted in Multnomah today.