Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results (user search)
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  Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results (search mode)
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Author Topic: Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results  (Read 4144 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« on: November 13, 2008, 08:23:53 AM »
So, the only state called wrong by the Atlas was Indiana? How does that compare to RCP and 538?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,783


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2008, 06:17:09 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on November 13, 2008, 12:17:52 PM
Quote from: Gustaf on November 13, 2008, 08:23:53 AM
So, the only state called wrong by the Atlas was Indiana? How does that compare to RCP and 538?

538 missed Indiana (had McCain +1.5) and NE-2 (McCain +6, although it's ridiculously hard to model NE-2).

RCP mis-called North Carolina (M+0.4) and Indiana (M+1.4).

Thought I don't think we should be punishing sites more for the difference between, say, McCain +0.1 and Obama +0.1 and McCain +0.1 and McCain +7.6.

I do. Be proud of the poll map attached to a forum of which you are a member!
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