Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results (user search)
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  Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results (search mode)
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Author Topic: Atlas 3 Poll Aggregate Map v. Actual Results  (Read 4142 times)
Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
United States


« on: November 13, 2008, 12:17:52 PM »
« edited: November 13, 2008, 08:20:42 PM by Alcon »

So, the only state called wrong by the Atlas was Indiana? How does that compare to RCP and 538?

538 missed Indiana (had McCain +1.5) and NE-2 (McCain +6, although it's ridiculously hard to model NE-2).

RCP mis-called North Carolina (M+0.4) and Indiana (M+1.4).  No attempt was made at NE-2 but they would have been wrong.

Thought I don't think we should be punishing sites more for the difference between, say, McCain +0.1 and Obama +0.1 and McCain +0.1 and McCain +7.6.
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