Rocky Mountian: Kyl(R) is still under 50% against Pederson(D)

[Tender Branson]

I think this race is pretty much over. Kyl´s approval isn´t that high but it´s ticking upwards. An average of the last 10 polls show him ahead 47,5 to 35,1. Because it will be a 2-way-race it would translate into a 57,5 to 42,5 win for Kyl in the general. Allthough I think he will win not by such a margin, everything points to it. AZ since 1995 has not elected a Dem. Senator and Kyl has a huge cash advantage. Comparing the electability of a democratic senator with the 1992 and 1996 wins of Clinton is nonsense. Senate and Presidential elections are 2 pairs of shoes. I may be proven wrong and there´s a long way to go until November, but I think that for the Dems bringing the WA, MT, MN, MO, OH, NJ, RI races over the finish line is far more important than AZ. Better focus on TN and VA or 2008. In 08 out of the 33 seats contested 21 will be Republican ones.