The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Torie]

With almost all of Wake in Tillis is winning it by 4-5. Not good for Brannon.

Need to see Mecklenberg and Forsyth first.

[Torie]

KY:  McConnell wins 63/35 over Bevin.

GA:  Perdue and Kingston head to the runoff.  

Yes, with runner up Kingston apparently favored per a poll, to move into first place in the runoff. So, with that little switch in the ultimate order of things, it seems that this time the vote percentage rank of the candidates was in the precise order of who was most electable, rather than unelectable, the latter of which my party had managed not so long ago at all to perfect into a veritable art form. Well done Pubs!

[Torie]

Recent big dump in Jasper seems to be what just propelled McDaniel (and Palazzo) up.

And DeSoto started checking in. Look for what Rankin does.

[Torie]

25% in for DeSoto county (neutral area) and McDaniel up 62-36.

Yes, the next five precincts came in, and they went 2-1 for McDaniel, rather than a tad below  3-2 for the first five, with 29 left to go in DeSoto. It's ugly up there. Cochran needs to carry Rankin to win this tonight probably.

[Torie]

The next 8 precincts in DeSoto broke 62-38 or so for McDaniel, and Cochran is carrying the rural counties in the northern part of the state. It is probably the Memphis burbs that are thrashing Cochran. Still nothing from Rankin.

[Torie]

Hinds has largely shot its wad. It seems that Cochran may be pulling some black votes in the Delta (impressive Pub numbers in heavily black rural counties there), which may save his ass. Anyway, odds are the Cochran will win Rankin with some margin, and wrap it up tonight, but if he loses Rankin, odds are he won't win tonight, and will have to go to a runoff.

[Torie]

About 10% of Rankin in, and Cochran up 51-47, a smaller margin than the other Jackson area counties. Oh the drama indeed!

[Torie]

72% and Cochram inches down to 50.2%.

Ernst at 53% with 11%. Lookin to be bigger blowout than I thought.

But DeSoto is done. I don't think Vicksburg is in either. Absent a Rankin surprise, Cochran should survive.

[Torie]

Well Cochran falls behind by a tiny amount in Rankin, and slips below 50% in tandem. Rankin must enjoy being essentially the whole ball game.

[Torie]

No more votes out in DeSoto County and McDaniel's at 49.9%.

Rankin will be decisive, but don't underestimate the importance of the remaining vote in Warren, Pontotoc, Lafayette, and Oktibbeha County.  

Yes, Cochran should do well in Warren.

[Torie]

Odds are very high the Miss Senate race is headed to a runoff. Cochran should pick up a bit of ground, but there are not enough votes left to get over 50%.

[Torie]

Cochran will need those 28 precincts still out in Hinds to get into the runoff.

[Torie]

Kashkari coming in 3rd combined with Brown being over 50 percent would be a wonderful epitaph for the California GOP.

Kashkari has clearly won the honor to lose to Jerry in November. He ran a ton of ads on Fox News, and they were effective.

[Torie]

Still got Holmes and 8 precincts out in Warren, 4 in Hinds. How many votes does Covington have?

[Torie]

Rankin would have to do something really weird for this not to go to a runoff now. Odds of that strike me as below 5%. Cochran otherwise still has his 4 Hinds, and 8 Warren precincts and Holmes presumably friendly voters out to move the ball a few basis points his way pending Rankin's 16 precincts, presumably much more vote heavy per precinct.