McClatchy: At RNC meeting, fears of midterm wipeout (user search)
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  McClatchy: At RNC meeting, fears of midterm wipeout (search mode)
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Author Topic: McClatchy: At RNC meeting, fears of midterm wipeout  (Read 1874 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,846
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: May 10, 2017, 08:40:32 PM »
Quote from: Beet on May 10, 2017, 08:36:54 PM
Luckily, the Senate is stacked in their favor, and thanks to gerrymandering, they can lose the popular vote by an absurd percentage and still keep the House.

Dems winning the two party house vote 55-45 would probably be enough to flip it, and that's definitely possible. (2012 was only 51-49 D)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,846
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2017, 01:26:32 PM »
Quote from: Beet on May 11, 2017, 10:35:27 AM
In the elections from 1958 to 1982, the Democrats had a structural advantage in the House and massive Party ID structural advantage, so their margins there are not the result of a "wave", but structural factors unique to that era which no longer exist. There is no reason to think a 10% margin is anywhere within the realm of possibility.



Virginia also provided '08 as an example, which was D+10. Why can't '18 be '08 redux?
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