SC (BCRS, Harrison Internal) - Graham +4

[Astatine]

I could definitely see Harrison get 43% of the vote, he seems to be running a pretty good campaign (and not just coasting on being a meme candidate). Getting the rest of the way to 50% will be impossible though. He is a black running in South Carolina, you see.

Yeah, 40-47 % is the Democrats' ceiling in SC, that's what they got in all of the gubernatorial races in recent years. 43 % definitely seems probable, although most undecided voters would be leaning towards Graham.