When will Texas become a swing state?

[Bo]

Once the children of illegal immigrant (who are themselves citizens) are old enough to vote. Texas went from 61% R in 2004 to 55% R in 2008, while the white vote remained at 75/25 R. As another poster would say, be patient.

To be fair, though, Texas was 10% more Republican than the national average in 2004 and 10% more Republican than the national average in 2008 as well. So the trend towards the Democrats was minimal.

As for the question, I would probably say around 2020-2025.

[Bo]

Election 2008 was painful for the Republican Party.

So was 1932, but that didn't mean the party was finished.

So you're saying that the GOP is going to be out of the White House for twenty years? 

No. Are you? With a low-forties approval rating halfway through the first term?

Reagan and Clinton had the same ratings during their first half...

Exactly, and so did Nixon and Truman. Yet all of them managed to have their approvals bounce back up by Election Day. If history is any guide, Obama will be reelected.

[Bo]

how will it lose further ground with white voters?

No. Having the white % in Texas decline enough should make TX a swing state.