Which State is Most Likely to "Flip" in 2016? (user search)

IceSpear
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 31,840

Political Matrix
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Re: Which State is Most Likely to "Flip" in 2016?

« on: October 27, 2013, 09:42:57 PM »

Florida. It was very surprising Obama won Florida to begin with.

Of course this assumes a competitive election. If it ends up being a Hillary vs. Cruz landslide, North Carolina would be the first domino to fall, along with many others.

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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 31,840

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Re: Which State is Most Likely to "Flip" in 2016?

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2013, 12:08:50 AM »

Quote from: Pessimistic Antineutrino on October 29, 2013, 11:07:54 PM

FL. I doubt Dems will do better than in 2012, and the Hillary vs. Cruz speculation is just wishful thinking. Cruz, in the recent Marquette poll for WI gets 4%. Sure, Cruz 2016. If 2016 is the 2000 redux I expect it to be then FL will be the first state to fall.

Wisconsin doesn't make a bit of difference in the primaries. Iowa and South Carolina do, and I bet Cruz will be at or near the top of the pack in those states.

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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 31,840

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Re: Which State is Most Likely to "Flip" in 2016?

« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2014, 09:56:02 PM »

Quote from: Joshua on January 21, 2014, 08:06:49 PM

Quote from: excelsus on January 19, 2014, 08:15:34 PM

Missouri, of course. There's no way it would vote against Clinton.

Are you serious?

I'd see Arkansas going for Clinton before Missouri, and I don't see Arkansas having a chance at going Democratic in 2016 at all.

The urban areas make Missouri far more Democratic than Arkansas.

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