latest Betfair odds (user search)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 119840 times)
Hamster
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« on: April 04, 2014, 10:29:05 PM »

I'm tempted to say the openness of this race, indicated by the above spreads, is illusory. Because there isn't an heir apparent from 2012, the establishment can take its time to choose their candidate in the invisible primary. I can only imagine one of Bush, Walker, or Christie running. Whichever one of them gets the go ahead will be trumpeted as the favorite by the media and start with a significant fundraising advantage. I know this isn't news to anyone who frequents this forum, but I do wonder how the relative competitiveness of the invisible primary will effect the strength of the anointed candidate. Will he start the primaries in a stronger position than Romney with the Republican party essentially united behind him, or will he be weakened by the competition to the point that an insurgent candidate such as Rand Paul could have a chance at beating him in the actual primary?
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Hamster
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Posts: 260
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« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2014, 12:53:50 PM »

Latest betfair odds (converted to percentage chance)

Democratic Nominee
Hillary Clinton 68%
Joe Biden 7.4%
Elizabeth Warren 5.4%
Andrew Cuomo 4%
Deval Patrick 3%
Rahm Emmanuel 2.6%

Republican Nominee
Jeb Bush 18.2%
Marco Rubio 15.4%
Rand Paul 11.1%
Chris Christie 10.5%
Scott Walker 6.5%
Ted Cruz 5.41%
Paul Ryan 4.8%
Mike Huckabee 4.6%
Bobby Jindal 3%
Mitt Romney 2.8%

Next President
Hillary Clinton 42.11%
Jeb Bush 8%
Marco Rubio 7.7%
Rand Paul 6.3%
Chris Christie 5.9%
Elizabeth Warren 4.2%
Joe Biden 3.6%
Paul Ryan 2.9%
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