Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (user search)
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  Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor  (Read 10860 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: November 12, 2015, 01:36:12 AM »
Eh, I'm feeling bold.

Edwards: 57.9%
Vitter: 42.1%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2015, 01:46:30 PM »
« Edited: November 12, 2015, 01:48:10 PM by Castro »
If Edwards wins half of Angelle and Dardenne voters, he gets around 57%. I think he'll end up winning an average of 58% of those voters, corresponding to a total general vote of about 59%. This estimate doesn't even take into account the possibility of Vitter voters switching over to Edwards and the higher rates of expected turnout.
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