MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[AtorBoltox]

Can the GOP refuse to accept Gianforte into their caucus?

[7,052,770]

Will Trump talk trash on Twitter about this victory? Or will even he know better?

[Technocracy Timmy]

Will Trump talk trash on Twitter about this victory? Or will even he know better?

Yes.

[Beet]

Quist' win will not only send a message to Republicans, but Democrats as well.

The message is we need a national popular vote and other electoral reforms for true democracy. Quist would have won easily in DC, but we don't get a seat in Congress. We must also resolutely convince people that this is just. In the meantime, we need to run 3rd way centrists like Joe Manchin, not far left kooks.

You do realize Quist is massively over-performing Clinton's number in a race which Zinke wins by 15-20% every election off. This was a 20% loss seat, Curtis lost by 18% in 2014. Quist is keeping it close, let all the results come in !

Wrong comparison: that was a presidential election and Montana is R at the presidential level. This is a Congressional election with an unpopular Republican incumbent president and a Republican candidate who is a known criminal. He is a known criminal and still won, with no one changing their minds. Process this.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Nate Silver says this is apparently mostly early vote still.

[Pandaguineapig]

A sign this is not looking good for quist is that CNN has completely gone silent on the race

[krazen1211]

Back in the day Barry lost Montana by about 2%. It's interesting how its now the voters that are the problem and not the party!

[_]

Will Trump talk trash on Twitter about this victory? Or will even he know better?

Considering how he didn't tell people to go out and vote on Twitter like he did for KS and GA, no.

[Classic Conservative]

Gianforte has 64% in SANDERS County! Loving the irony!

[Virginiá]

On the upside, if Piano Man wins (as it looks), Democrats will have either a damaged incumbent or an open seat to run for in 2018.

[TheSaint250]

A sign this is not looking good for quist is that CNN has completely gone silent on the race

lol

[Maxwell]

I mean maybe election day results are going to be real bad for Gianforte, but I wouldn't count on it.

[AtorBoltox]

Nate Silver says this is apparently mostly early vote still.

Yeah but isn't early vote more dem?

[Beet]

Back in the day Barry lost Montana by about 2%. It's interesting how its now the voters that are the problem and not the party!

In 2008, the Democrats were still the party of 3rd way Clintonism. SJWs and hard left "progressives" sh**t the can for the Democrats.

[KingSweden]

I'm absolutely taken aghast that a Republican can literally bodyslam a reporter and still even have a chance of winning a congressional seat. It's madness.

Well to be fair, it happened after most of the votes were already cast. Since people can't change their vote, that's that.

This

[ApatheticAustrian]

status quo of the last special elections:

dems are mostly doing better than thought in urban centers and rep better than in the past everywhere else.

and mt seems to be especially difficult.

[Shadows]

Amanda Curtis would've made this race competitive, tbh.

Are you kidding?

Yeah, I doubt we'd have been hearing a steady stream of oppo dumps about her performing at nudist resorts or shady dealings over her rental homes for a couple of months..

Lost by 18% in 2014, atleast Quist is keeping it close !

Totally different national environment, and that was after the previous Democratic incumbent had to drop out because of a scandal. Quist had a golden opportunity and blew it.

Golden opportunity on a seat Zinke won for 20 years, Clinton lost by 20% to Trump & where Democrats have never even had a 4% victory margin in many years (even in their best performances).

Yea right - Golden opportunity - Alternative facts !

[The_Doctor]

The most interesting thing is the swing. The trends continue to look like a lot of GOP victories but looking weak for 2018, as I said.

If Quist loses by 2-3% it doesn't necessarily mean a negative outcome.

[Kamala]

On the upside, if Piano Man wins (as it looks), Democrats will have either a damaged incumbent or an open seat to run for in 2018.

And perhaps a better candidate than Quist 2017 - a more seasoned campaigner...

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Gianforte has 64% in SANDERS County! Loving the irony!

Hillary lost every Clinton County in the Democratic primary and all but one in the general election.

[136or142]

I think this is more evidence of the Republican Party being 'the party of personal responsibility' is a stupid myth that stupid Republicans (redundant, sorry) still believe.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Back in the day Barry lost Montana by about 2%. It's interesting how its now the voters that are the problem and not the party!

In 2008, the Democrats were still the party of 3rd way Clintonism. SJWs and hard left "progressives" sh**t the can for the Democrats.

They won because Bush was garbage and the financial crisis was perfectly timed. They could've nominated a dead cat in 2008 and won.

[Adam Griffin]

One question that I don't think was ever actually answered - is early vote by mail in MT more Democratic than ED?  Like, do we actually know that this is the case in a special election in a state where its prevalence is so widespread?

[Lothal1]

I'm not going to lie, I don't think the average citizen really cares about the pushing/slamming incident...

[Devout Centrist]

Back in the day Barry lost Montana by about 2%. It's interesting how its now the voters that are the problem and not the party!

In 2008, the Democrats were still the party of 3rd way Clintonism. SJWs and hard left "progressives" sh**t the can for the Democrats.

Oh f**k off you imbecile