NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections (user search)
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  NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections  (Read 19522 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: October 26, 2007, 03:26:50 PM »

I anticipate Republicans will be going in to the next session with a 23-17 deficit in the State Senate, and a 48-32 deficit in the State Assembly.

What are the standings this session?

22-18 and 50-30 (both Democratic majorities)
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Verily
Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2007, 09:31:37 PM »

Assembly:
Milam looks to probably be home safe in the 1st district. With Cape May County mostly in, Milam leads Donohue by a little over 1,000 votes, and Cape May County is the most Republican of the three counties in the district.

Things are very tight in the 12th district so far, with only parts of Monmouth County in. Nothing from Mercer yet, but the district's mostly in Monmouth.

Diorio leads Schaer in the 36th district, but all of the reporting precincts are in Bergen County and the result is within 200 votes right now.

Senate:
Van Drew leads Asselta by over 3,000 votes in the 1st district. Again, it's mostly Cape May County so far.

Beck leads Karcher by just about 1,500 votes in the 12th district with around 50% reporting.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2007, 09:40:45 PM »

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

And it sounds like the GOP picked up Whelan's Assembly seat.

Nothing in from the 2nd yet but rumors.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2007, 09:42:31 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2007, 09:45:04 PM by Verily »

Assembly:
Milam looks to probably be home safe in the 1st district. With Cape May County mostly in, Milam leads Donohue by a little over 1,000 votes, and Cape May County is the most Republican of the three counties in the district.

Ironically, though, Van Drew was expected to run strongest in Cape May County, having to run up a significant enough lead there to overcome Asselta's lead from his home base around Vineland.

Well, this may have trickled down to Milam, but given the local penchant for ticket-splitting, I think it less likely than otherwise. Still, the race is tight for that Assembly seat, no doubt.

Van Drew did indeed perform better in Cape May than Cumberland, at least so far, though he's winning in both counties (with 57% and 55%).

On the other hand, the Democrats are crushing the Republicans for the 1st Assembly seat in Cumberland while Milam just barely trails in Cape May.
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