Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Coastal Elitist]

I'm surprised that there was never a poll for CA-25

[Coastal Elitist]

Final results for CA-25 are in and the margin did not change: https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/special-elections/2019-cd25/official-results-general/

Mike Garcia 95,667 54.9%
Christy Smith 78,721 45.1%

Turnout 41%

So much for the margin decreasing to low single digits like so many claimed.

[Coastal Elitist]

Well Jacobs is under investigation, but this is a very Republican District...

Since he doesn't have the incumbency advantage that Collins had, I'll make the following prediction.

Nate McMurray (D) 50%
Chris Jacobs (R) 49%
Duane Whitmer (L) 0.6%
Michael Giammaerllo (G) 0.4%

lol