Doug Jones Internal: Moore +4

[Pericles]

I think Moore will win but it'll be a little closers than people expect and a warning sign showing Republican weakness in 2018.

[Pericles]

Unless Jones is ahead by more than 10 in the polls just before Election Day he's not winning. It's Alabama, all these 'undecided' voters will come home in the end

This. Brown was leading Chokely in the weeks leading up to the election. Being down 4/5 isn't good enough for a win.

Brown led her at the end, not months before the election(he was behind by double digits). Jones has plenty of time to catch up.