The Case for a Neutral 2022 (user search)
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May 20, 2024, 11:59:28 AM
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  The Case for a Neutral 2022 (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Case for a Neutral 2022  (Read 1347 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: November 06, 2022, 01:36:28 PM »

Even an R+1 environment (which the WA primary suggested) results in the Republicans winning a solid margin in the House and most of the toss-up Senate seats. That's a 5.5-point swing from 2020.

I agree that a republican win by 1 point in the NPV equals a tossup/tilt R senate, but it’s not going to be a blowout in the house at those numbers. Republicans probably still win but only about 220-230 seats.
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