Canadian Election 2019 (user search)
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Author Topic: Canadian Election 2019  (Read 195536 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« on: September 06, 2019, 01:31:58 PM »

Mainstreet Research is doing their daily tracker poll again this year. Looks like you get some access to riding polls and some other news items from iPolitics as well. Pricing seems rather steep at $220 plus HST for September and October coverage or $150 for just October. Not sure  whether official party is just for candidates/party organizers or if it's open to anyone that is a member of a registered political party; but that category is only $46 a month.

https://ipolitics.ca/premium-election-coverage/
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2019, 10:44:07 PM »

A week-long drip is gonna hurt, much more than if they had come out at once. I do still think the Libs will recover by E-day but it's hard to tell.
As sad as it is I don’t think voters will care about this as much as some are thinking they will. I remember people claiming how much various personal scandals would hurt a candidates chances in the past and they didn’t seem to matter in the end. I’m guessing the NDP get a small boost and that’s probably it. Unless Scheer preforms well in the debates this is probably Trudeau’s election to lose.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2019, 01:42:56 PM »

Maybe the canadian media is diffrent, but how did 3(maybe more) documentations of black face fall under the radar for so long?

At least in the case of the 2001 yearbook photo, it seems like a collective brainfart. No one thought to look at the yearbooks of a teacher candidate. It's not just media, even opposition research was slow to get this. You can be sure that if the Harper Conservatives had this back in 2015, they would have leaked it then.

That would've risked handing the election to the NDP though. 2015 was a 'change' election, and progressive voters were going to back whichever party had the best change to kick the Tories out.
Had Layton lived longer, would the NDP would have had a fighting chance of being in second place.
No the Conservatives basically have a lock on second or first because they essentially can't go below 30% unless the right is divided. If this controversy happened back in early to mid September than we would probably have PM Mulcair instead though.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2019, 09:27:12 PM »



Trudeau doing his best Kellie Leitch impression.

Why on earth is he doing this? This seems like something that would turn off more voters than gain, if for no other reason but because it seems rather phony from him.
Probably trying to stop the Bloc surge in Quebec.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2019, 12:58:19 PM »

What's the likelihood of either Wilson-Raybould or Philpotts winning as an independent? I guess that might be relevant to the electoral calculus if Lib + NDP is about the same as Con.
Fairly low for Jane Philpott I would think. Jody Wilson-Raybould chance at victory is probably close to 50/50 at this point.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2019, 09:59:05 PM »

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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2019, 03:34:29 PM »




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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2019, 05:01:07 PM »

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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2019, 12:38:52 PM »

When will voting end in the Atlantic Provinces? 7pm EST?
7 PM est is for Newfoundland and Labrador only the rest of the Atlantic provinces close at 7:30 PM est.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2019, 01:04:04 PM »

Have the ridiculous media blackout rules on east-coast results in the West come to an end yet?
Yeah that ended last time in 2015 and I don't believe it was reintroduced.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2019, 08:10:40 PM »

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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2019, 11:10:32 PM »




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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2019, 08:37:44 PM »


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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2019, 09:33:03 PM »

http://forumpoll.com/m/post/3051/fed-horserace-final/

Liberal 31.7% 140 seats
Conservatives 29.9% 111 seats
NDP 17.5% 38 seats
Bloc 9% 48 seats
Green 8.3% 1 seat
PPC 3% 0 seats
Other 0.5% 0 seats
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2019, 09:35:36 PM »

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