Republicans are pretty much screwed on Tuesday.
I will likely make my final predictions tomorrow, unless there are some final polls on Monday.
But I'm more going by past Dem wave election trends, special election results and early-voting trends this time and ignore the polls, such as the R-leaning ones in TN and TX (which I think will be really close races).
The overwhelming majority of predictions based on the early vote fail miserably. My model, the final predictions of which I will be posting soon, will ignore the early vote. We'll see what method fares better this time around.
Other states maybe, but I feel like ignoring early in NV may be a mistake.
