It seems that Trump has surged in IN and MO. The last few elections they have moved together. Tied in 2008, Romney by 10% in 2012 and now we see Trump ahead of Romney in both with about a 12% lead. That is up significantly from a few weeks ago and Trump is actually a great fit for both states.
He could very well carry most of or even all of the GOP ticket to victory in those states, including Senator and Governor, resulting in narrow 1% or 2% wins for Holcomb and even Greitens.
After all, we elected Obama narrowly and simultaneously re-elected Daniels in a landslide.
Yes, that is true and that is why I added the caveat "most or even all".
Governors usually go differently from the rest of the ticket or at the very least can go different. Though when the race is tied, the chances that turnout and other factors stemming from the top of the ticket increase the chances of them getting pulled in.
Keep in mind Daniels won by 18 and Obama won by less than 1%. Here the situation is the opposite with the Governor tied and Trump up 12%. If Trump over performs in the Midwest (and there is reason to think he might), that could make the difference in a race for Governor with a 1% margin.
