2017 Special Election Thread: CT House 68

[The Other Castro]

Are any of those CT races for R-held districts?

Senate 32 was vacated by a Republican, but was won with 63-68% of the vote over the last three elections. The other two races are Safe Dem. All three are going to stay with their current parties.

[The Other Castro]

Taniel ‏@Taniel
In DE special, the GOPer lodges a complaint that voters under 18 are voting, tho officials say state law allows it: http://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/politics/2017/02/25/senate-district-10-race-draws-crowd-complaints/98375166/

[The Other Castro]

TYT is very invested in Cava's campaign in Connecticut.

$40,000 and growing.

Also, turnout for Senate 32 (the only race that matters) is expected to be around 12%.

[The Other Castro]

TYT is very invested in Cava's campaign in Connecticut.

$40,000 and growing.

Also, turnout for Senate 32 (the only race that matters) is expected to be around 12%.

what's your prediction on who will win?

No change in status quo:
Senate District 32 - Eric Berthel, R Hold (~55-65% of the vote)
Senate District 2 - Douglas McCrory, D Hold (~75-85% of the vote)
House District 115 - Dorinda Borer, D Hold (~65-75% of the vote)

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is reportedly light, as expected, in the 2 Senate districts with special elections today.

In Senate District 32 (the Republican seat), Watertown is one of the largest towns and has 15,523 registered voters, but had only 1,453 people vote by noon.

Polls close at 8PM Eastern.

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is reportedly light, as expected, in the 2 Senate districts with special elections today.

In Senate District 32 (the Republican seat), Watertown is one of the largest towns and has 15,523 registered voters, but had only 1,453 people vote by noon.

Polls close at 8PM Eastern.

Extrapolating 12% turnout from 10.5% turnout at midday seems misguided. Don't most people with jobs vote after work?

The 12% number from before is just what the area usually gets, though I expect it may be a bit higher than usual.

Also, some early turnout reports from SD 32 show some possibly positive signs for the Democratic candidate. Turnout is lower in the Republican's hometown.

[The Other Castro]

So... anyone have a results page? I've found nothing.

There don't seem to be any yet.

[The Other Castro]

Laraine Weschler‏ @RA_Laraine
Unofficial results: Berthel 9901 to Cava 8121. Still missing some ballots that need to be hand counted. #32senatect #Ctelection

[The Other Castro]

Laraine Weschler‏ @RA_Laraine
Unofficial results: Berthel 9901 to Cava 8121. Still missing some ballots that need to be hand counted. #32senatect #Ctelection

How strong of a result would you say this is for the Democrat?

It's not bad at all. Trump won this district by 18, while Cava will end up losing by only 10 or so.

[The Other Castro]

Honestly I'm fairly pleased by these results. Democrats didn't really have a chance at SD 32, but they matched the best score on my predicted range of results.