UK local by-elections 2015
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MaxQue
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« Reply #50 on: July 17, 2015, 02:58:56 AM »
« edited: July 17, 2015, 03:12:44 AM by MaxQue »
Quote from: YL on July 17, 2015, 02:11:03 AM
Quote from: ObserverIE on July 16, 2015, 05:18:58 PM
Wrexham, Llay

Lib Dem 52.2 (+52.2)
Lab 26.3 (-39.6)
Ind Dodd 9.2
Con 4.8 (+4.Cool
UKIP 4.5 (+4.5)
Ind Broderick 3.1

Any idea what was going on here?

(Also, how do you pronounce the name of this place?  "Ll" looks very Welsh, "ay" looks very not Welsh.)

That's the English name of the ward/town. It's Llai in Welsh.

And it's North Wales and Wrexham (lots of Independent councillors and wierd patterns). I suspect they voted for a popular local guy who happened to have a LD label.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #51 on: July 17, 2015, 11:15:01 AM »
There's also a super controversial planning proposal relating to the village (couple of hundred new homes or something: I forget the details. I remember reading about it last year) which may have been a factor. Also Llay - like the rest of Wrexham borough - has weird local voting patterns and always has.

Anyway, I've always known it as Lay (specifically in the context that Llay Welfare football team of the postwar years were notorious cheats, but that's enough about that) if that helps.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #52 on: July 23, 2015, 06:35:00 PM »
« Edited: July 24, 2015, 06:09:07 PM by ObserverIE »
Caerphilly, New Tredegar (changes in italics since October 2012 by-election)

Lab 82.5 (+12.3) (-2.8)
UKIP 11.5 (+11.5) (+11.5)
Con 6.0 (+6.0) (+3.0)

Elmbridge, Long Ditton

Lib Dem 50.6 (+4.3)
Con 40.2 (-4.7)
Green 5.2 (+5.2)
UKIP 4.0 (-4.9)

Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill

Lab 58.8 (+9.0)
UKIP 20.8 (-7.6)
Con 12.3 (-4.9)
Lib Dem 8.0 (+3.4)

Westminster, Harrow Road

Lab 75.4 (+18.9)
Con 22.1 (+6.4)
UKIP 2.5 (-8.6)

North East Lincolnshire, Croft Baker

Lab 37.0 (-3.0)
Con 24.7 (-1.9)
Lib Dem 15.6 (+11.3)
UKIP 15.3 (-8.1)
TUSC 4.1 (+2.3)
Green 3.2 (-0.7)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #53 on: July 23, 2015, 07:04:13 PM »
Tight race in New Tredegar.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #54 on: July 24, 2015, 02:57:32 AM »
Not a lot of love for UKIP atm is there?
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« Reply #55 on: July 24, 2015, 02:19:59 PM »
UKIP were never going to do well in Long Ditton or Harrow Road, but the Blackburn and Cleethorpes results for them are pretty poor.  The Blackburn ward was won by the BNP in a 2003 by-election (on slightly different boundaries).
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #56 on: July 30, 2015, 05:46:55 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2015, 06:21:40 AM by ObserverIE »
Holy Words here and here.

North Kesteven, North Hykeham Mill

Con 40.1 (-15.0)
Hykeham Ind 25.2 (-19.7)
Lab 22.6 (+22.6)
Green 9.0 (+9.0)
Lib Dem 3.1 (+3.1)

Wychavon, Droitwich East

Con 52.2 (+11.5)
Lab 18.4 (-4.2)
UKIP 18.0 (-3.1)
Lib Dem 11.4 (-4.2)

Northumberland, College

Lab 69.5 (-21.2)
UKIP 14.0 (+14.0)
Lib Dem 11.2 (+11.2)
Con 5.3 (-4.0)

Aberdeen, Kincorth/Nigg/Cove

SNP 61.0 (+26.9)
Lab 19.1 (-18.8)
Con 9.8 (+4.4)
Lib Dem 6.5 (-1.6)
Green 3.6 (+3.6)

Aberdeen, Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill

SNP 55.1 (+19.6)
Lab 25.1 (-19.9)
Con 11.4 (+6.0)
Green 4.2 (+1.6)
Lib Dem 4.1 (+0.2)

Con gain North Hykeham Mill from Lincs Ind
SNP hold Kincorth/Nigg/Cove
SNP hold Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill
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afleitch
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« Reply #57 on: August 04, 2015, 05:59:26 AM »
This Thursday is a Glasgow spectacular: Anderston/City, Calton, Craigton and Langside all have by-elections.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #58 on: August 06, 2015, 04:11:26 PM »
The Haly Wird is here.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #59 on: August 06, 2015, 08:34:32 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2015, 02:48:32 PM by ObserverIE »
Glasgow, Calton

SNP 55.5 (+25.5)
Lab 30.0 (-24.6)
Con 4.7 (+2.1)
UKIP 3.8 (+3.8)
Green 3.6 (+0.6)
Ind 1.7
Lib Dem 0.7 (-0.2)

Glasgow, Anderston/City

SNP 48.1 (+18.0)
Lab 28.6 (-22.6)
Green 13.8 (+3.1)
Con 5.5 (+0.7)
Lib Dem 2.2 (+0.5)
UKIP 1.4 (+1.4)
Libt 0.4 (+0.4)

SNP
1441
1444
1446
1457
1473
1750
Lab
857
857
866
881
943
1024
Green
414
414
421
442
467
Con
164
166
173
184
Lib Dem
66
68
70
UKIP
43
45
Libt
12

Glasgow, Craigton

SNP 54.2 (+22.8)
Lab 33.3 (-20.1)
Con 6.1 (+2.5)
Green 2.8 (+0.7)
UKIP 1.9 (+0.9)
Lib Dem 1.8 (+0.9)

Glasgow, Langside

SNP 49.9 (+12.0)
Lab 21.8 (-14.1)
Green 13.5 (+4.4)
Con 8.9 (+1.7)
Lib Dem 2.9 (-4.4)
UKIP 1.5 (+1.5)
TUSC 1.4 (+1.4)

SNP
2134
2143
Lab
932
945
Green
579
598
Con
379
379
Lib Dem
125
125
UKIP
65
66
TUSC
62

South Lanarkshire, Hamilton South (changes in italics since October 2013 by-election)

SNP 48.0 (+15.4) (+15.5)
Lab 35.6 (-15.9) (-16.1)
Con 8.9 (-0.3) (-0.5)
Green 3.2 (+3.2) (+3.2)
SCP 2.0 (-1.1) (-1.9)
UKIP 1.1 (+1.1) (-1.4)
Lib Dem 0.8 (+0.8) (+0.8)
Pirate 0.3 (+0.3) (+0.3)

SNP
1881
1883
1888
1895
1909
1978
Lab
1396
1398
1405
1410
1425
1460
Con
349
349
354
365
389
398
Green
127
128
132
135
146
SCP
77
80
81
84
UKIP
43
44
45
Lib Dem
32
34
Pirate
13
         

SNP hold Calton
SNP hold Anderston/City
SNP hold Craigton
SNP gain Langside from Green
SNP hold Hamilton South
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #60 on: August 06, 2015, 08:57:37 PM »
So around 60% for pro-independence parties in each.
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afleitch
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« Reply #61 on: August 07, 2015, 06:26:08 PM »
Heavier swings in areas like Calton and Craigton where Labour are strongest. Langside and Anderston/City even without the Greens were trending SNP before hand. Similar pattern to May.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #62 on: August 13, 2015, 12:40:48 PM »
« Edited: August 13, 2015, 06:07:54 PM by ObserverIE »
Holy Words here, here, and here.

Caerphilly, Crosskeys

Lab 50.6 (-4.3)
PC 25.6 (+12.9)
UKIP 23.7 (+23.7)

Exeter, Pinhoe

Con 42.3 (+7.2)
Lab 42.0 (+5.5)
UKIP 8.0 (-11.5)
Lib Dem 3.5 (+0.5)
Green 3.5 (-1.4)
Ind 0.6

Powys, Glasbury

Lib Dem 44.4 (+44.4)
Con 40.3 (-10.9)
Ind Hood 10.3 (-8.0)
Green 5.0 (+5.0)

Warwickshire, Nuneaton Whitestone

Con 58.4 (+5.5)
Lab 22.9 (-8.5)
UKIP 13.3 (+13.3)
Green 5.4 (-10.3)

Falkirk, Denny and Banknock

SNP 69.0 (+30.0)
Lab 14.7 (-16.0)
Con 11.5 (+7.8)
Green 4.8 (+4.8)

North Lanarkshire, Wishaw

SNP 51.1 (+16.7)
Lab 32.8 (-24.9)
Con 10.3 (+2.4)
SSP 3.1 (+3.1)
UKIP 1.8 (+1.8)
Lib Dem 1.0 (+1.0)

Con gain Pinhoe from Lab
Lib Dem gain Glasbury from Con
SNP hold Denny and Banknock
SNP hold Wishaw
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YL
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« Reply #63 on: August 19, 2015, 09:46:32 AM »
Unusually for a Tuesday, there was a by-election yesterday for West Mainland ward of Orkney.  Orkney's local politics have generally been totally dominated by Independents, but a group called the Orkney Manifesto Group, who obviously have to be referred to as OMG, are trying to challenge this; a handful of the councillors elected at the last election were members, and they're now a registered political party.  The by-election was caused by the death of one of their councillors: more details on Andrew Teale's preview.

Result:
OMG 593
Ind 446
Green 115

(decided on first preferences)

So an OMG hold.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #64 on: August 20, 2015, 04:37:53 PM »
« Edited: August 20, 2015, 06:08:18 PM by ObserverIE »
Apologies for missing Orkney.

Other Holy Words here and here.

West Oxfordshire, Witney North

Con 33.9 (-15.7)
Lib Dem 25.8 (+19.8)
Green 17.5 (+3.2)
Lab 14.6 (-4.0)
UKIP 8.2 (-3.3)

Cornwall, Camborne Pendarves

Con 30.3 (+0.5)
Lib Dem 29.0 (+29.0)
Lab 20.5 (+1.8)
UKIP 8.3 (-23.5)
MK 7.9 (-11.8)
Green 2.9 (+2.9)
Ind 1.2

Durham, Shotton and South Hetton

(NEP vote compared with "FAIR and Independent" from 2013)

Lab 52.5 (+9.7)
NEP 18.9 (-5.0)
UKIP 11.6 (+11.6)
Lib Dem 9.4 (+9.4)
Con 5.9 (+5.9)
Green 1.7 (+1.7)

Con win Witney North (outgoing councillor defected to Ind)
Con gain Camborne Pendarves from UKIP
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« Reply #65 on: August 20, 2015, 05:11:13 PM »
Farronmania!
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #66 on: August 20, 2015, 06:10:15 PM »

Well, outside (outwith?) Scotland, they're no longer getting so many humiliating results, I suppose. Early to tell, though.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #67 on: August 27, 2015, 05:37:34 PM »
Dearne North

Labour 69.8%, UKIP 12%, Yorkshire First 9.8%, TUSC 4.7%, Con 3.7%
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #68 on: August 27, 2015, 07:01:44 PM »
Belated Holy Word here

Barnsley, Dearne Valley

Lab 69.8 (+4.2)
UKIP 12.0 (-15.4)
Yorks First 9.8 (+9.8)
TUSC 4.7 (+4.7)
Con 3.7 (-3.3)
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YL
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« Reply #69 on: August 28, 2015, 02:22:31 AM »
#lolbarnsleytories

It would have been an even more beautiful result if Yorkshire First had somehow sneaked ahead of UKIP.

The core of Goldthorpe, well known for its enthusiasm for the Conservative Party and its former leaders, seems to be in Dearne South ward, but part is indeed in Dearne North.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #70 on: September 03, 2015, 06:12:16 PM »
Holy Word here.

Had difficulty calculating the percentage figures for 2012 due to the swarm of independents (7 for 4 seats and none coming close to election). In the end, decided to divide by 7.

Caerphilly, Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen

Lab 46.8 (-16.1)
PC 23.8 (+4.1)
UKIP 10.4 (+10.4)
Ind Dew 8.6
Con 5.6 (+5.6)
Ind Davies 4.9
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #71 on: September 03, 2015, 06:32:40 PM »
In some parts of South Wales its basically impossible to create 'accurate' percentages for local elections. I wouldn't worry overmuch about it.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #72 on: September 10, 2015, 05:36:12 PM »
« Edited: September 11, 2015, 08:02:30 AM by ObserverIE »
Tunbridge Wells, Southborough North

Con 43.7 (-14.0)
Lib Dem 39.3 (+24.0)
UKIP 17.0 (+6.0)

Maidstone, Fant

Con 27.1 (-2.6)
Lib Dem 24.1 (+2.1)
Lab 20.0 (-0.4)
Green 14.2 (+3.9)
UKIP 10.2 (-7.4)
Ind 4.3

Sandwell, Blackheath

Lab 51.4 (+7.0)
Con 30.5 (-0.6)
UKIP 16.1 (-8.4)
Green 2.0 (+2.0)

Thurrock, West Thurrock and South Stifford

Lab 43.0 (-3.9)
UKIP 30.8 (+1.9)
Con 26.2 (+2.0)

Edinburgh, Leith Walk (two vacancies)

SNP 36.2 (+7.7)
Lab 25.7 (-7.5)
Green 21.8 (+1.5)
Con 7.9 (-0.2)
Lib Dem 4.0 (-1.1)
UKIP 1.6 (+1.6)
SSP 1.5 (+1.5)
Left Unity 0.5 (+0.5)
Ind 0.4
Lbt 0.3 (+0.3)

SNP229021092109210921092109210921092109
Lab16231650.111653.111659.581661.661680.371697.561798.221990.25
Green13811464.611469.771483.41495.271502.671576.11653.311729.86
Con501503.77505.85506.93507.01540.17541.25574.65
Lib Dem255261.64263.04265.28265.28267.44271.6
UKIP102105.64105.64106.8106.8
SSP97107.75107.75108.22122.01125.17
Left U3233.5833.6633.9
Ind262930
Lbt1717.87

Midlothian, Midlothian West

SNP 43.2 (+3.5)
Lab 26.5 (-9.0)
Con 14.7 (+4.0)
Green 10.4 (+5.2)
Lib Dem 4.5 (-1.2)
Ind 0.7

SNP
1540
1541
1558
1701
Lab
945
948
   977
1082
Con
524
530
570
618
Green
372
375
420
Lib Dem
162
165
Ind
25

SNP hold Leith Walk
Lab gain Leith Walk from Green
SNP hold Midlothian West
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #73 on: September 12, 2015, 06:23:22 AM »
What do we have next Thursday?
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #74 on: September 12, 2015, 07:38:00 AM »

Two Labour seats in Haringey (Noel Park and Woodside)
A Conservative seat in Richmondshire (Richmond East)
An SNP seat in South Ayrshire (Ayr East)
A Conservative seat in South Cambridgeshire (Bourn)

http://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/5504/local-council-byelections-december-2015?page=14
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