FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (user search)
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8  (Read 19758 times)
Fargobison
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Posts: 1,692


« on: November 01, 2016, 10:20:31 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2016, 10:23:42 PM by Fargobison »

Remind me again why this is more believable than the NC poll showing Trump up 7?

Both are outliers, but at least these cross tabs are some what believable.

Hillary winning 28% of Republicans is not believable. Literally no other poll shows anything even remotely similar to this.

If Clinton is winning 28% of Republicans, she will win 40-45 states (including Texas). It means either this poll is wrong or every other poll is.

I don't think this is something you can carry over to other states, a lot of it would unique to FL with the Cuban population.

It does make sense that it would be inflated with early voting. Rubio is going to turn out a lot of Cuban voters. Clinton is probably targeting them as well.
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