2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Bidenworth2020]

Time to post this again:

classic radical lib. rejecting the cold hard facts when they cant handle it

Know thyself.

I doubt that there are too many people around here who would call me a "radical lib".

well, considering your using a meme from a show that actively supports communism, I am right to be suspicious

[KingSweden]

I'm sensing some /s

He’s cosplaying as LimoLiberal

[GeorgiaModerate]

Time to post this again:

classic radical lib. rejecting the cold hard facts when they cant handle it

Know thyself.

I doubt that there are too many people around here who would call me a "radical lib".

well, considering your using a meme from a show that actively supports communism, I am right to be suspicious

LOL

[Bidenworth2020]

Time to post this again:

classic radical lib. rejecting the cold hard facts when they cant handle it

Know thyself.

I doubt that there are too many people around here who would call me a "radical lib".

well, considering your using a meme from a show that actively supports communism, I am right to be suspicious

LOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUHAqO_QEA0

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/sfpathe/status/1006866676829257728

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/sfpathe/status/1006866676829257728

I don't think he wins, but if this is what NJ-03 looks like, the rest of the state is going to be a bloodbath.

[KingSweden]

https://twitter.com/sfpathe/status/1006866676829257728

I don't think he wins, but if this is what NJ-03 looks like, the rest of the state is going to be a bloodbath.

Agree both counts

[District101]

https://twitter.com/SienaResearch/status/1006997694693462021

[KingSweden]

https://twitter.com/SienaResearch/status/1006997694693462021

Katko will beat either

[District101]

https://twitter.com/SienaResearch/status/1006997694693462021

Katko will beat either

Definitely. This is definitely the seat where Democrats did worst in recruiting. Katko will probably do even better than his previous runs.

[ON Progressive]

PA-10 (PPP, 654 likely voters)

Scott Perry (R-inc) 45
George Scott (D) 41

https://twitter.com/rw_briggs/status/1006988546325000192

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

PA-10 (PPP, 654 likely voters)

Scott Perry (R-inc) 45
George Scott (D) 41

https://twitter.com/rw_briggs/status/1006988546325000192

This is my district, and this poll is very encouraging. Perry had been coasting by in a ruby-red district and I doubt he is ready for a competitive race. George Scott is a really impressive candidate, in my view.

[IceSpear]

Who thought PA-10 was safe R? lol

[ajc0918]

Who thought PA-10 was safe R? lol

Lol right? Obama got 49% in 2008 and Trump only got 52%. This could be a reach seat.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

[Bidenworth2020]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

yeah, looks like the slight dem bump is over

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

yeah, looks like the slight dem bump is over

That's fine, doesn't seem to be a reversion. They're in flip territory with these numbers. The big win in Wisconsin came after the Trump-Kim summit so I don't see any GOP bump coming from the event.

[Sir Mohamed]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

yeah, looks like the slight dem bump is over

Buuut a red wave is coming and according to Drumpf, Stewart has a good chance to beat Tim Kaine that stiff!

[Comrade Funk]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

yeah, looks like the slight dem bump is over

Buuut a red wave is coming and according to Drumpf, Stewart has a good chance to beat Tim Kaine that stiff!

Red Wave aint over until Limo's mind model says it is

[Politician]

Ispos-

Democrats: 45% (+1)
Republicans: 35% (+2)

Democrats up 13 points with Independents.

COLLAPSE

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-06/2018_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_06_13_2018.pdf

yeah, looks like the slight dem bump is over

But muh polls are wrong! Unless they predict my side will win, than National Review and DailyWire can nut about it for a year!

[Arkansas Yankee]

The reason that Democrats will vote at a greater rate this year is that they hate or dislike Trump as much as Republicans hated or disliked Obama or would have hated or disliked Hillary.  There has been some of that type of partisan dislike through out or history.   But now it has reached a crescendo due to large policy differences that have not been as great since the 1850s. We know what resulted from those differences.

Has it possibly come time to split? Probably not.  But the divisions are very deep.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I just think it's a shame that it took DONALD TRUMP becoming PRESIDENT to get people motivated enough to vote. Let that sink in for moment: DONALD TRUMP as PRESIDENT.

Reagan should have been enough. The right-wing revolution of 1994 should have been enough. The Bushes should have been enough. The Tea Party should have been enough. But no. It took DONALD TRUMP.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, I turned 18 in 1991, and I was already motivated to vote, because I had suffered enough right-wing injustice already. Why did it take so long for other people to catch on?

[Arkansas Yankee]

I just think it's a shame that it took DONALD TRUMP becoming PRESIDENT to get people motivated enough to vote. Let that sink in for moment: DONALD TRUMP as PRESIDENT.

Reagan should have been enough. The right-wing revolution of 1994 should have been enough. The Bushes should have been enough. The Tea Party should have been enough. But no. It took DONALD TRUMP.

You were not motivated in 2008 when songs of worship were written in behalf of Obama and when he claimed he would heal the seas? I do not believe it.

I thought Democrats were motivated in 2006, too.  So don’t belly ache and whine. You’ve gotten your share of victories.
Mavbe if you had not sacrificed your party to the Clintons.  To have Hillary you were willing to give up,the Presidency and the courts.

[Person Man]

I just think it's a shame that it took DONALD TRUMP becoming PRESIDENT to get people motivated enough to vote. Let that sink in for moment: DONALD TRUMP as PRESIDENT.

Reagan should have been enough. The right-wing revolution of 1994 should have been enough. The Bushes should have been enough. The Tea Party should have been enough. But no. It took DONALD TRUMP.

You were not motivated in 2008 when songs of worship were written in behalf of Obama and when he claimed he would heal the seas? I do not believe it.

I thought Democrats were motivated in 2006, too.  So don’t belly ache and whine. You’ve gotten your share of victories.
Mavbe if you had not sacrificed your party to the Clintons.  To have Hillary you were willing to give up,the Presidency and the courts.

It will be interesting to see how Democrats do without Clinton. They will either find a way to suceed with what they had before them or find an analog to the Clintons but not quite the same.