2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 206514 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #700 on: March 09, 2018, 10:01:21 PM »
What happened to Limo?
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Doimper
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« Reply #701 on: March 09, 2018, 10:21:39 PM »

He's been sent off to purgatory. Cheesy
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #702 on: March 09, 2018, 11:01:17 PM »

Clarification?
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #703 on: March 09, 2018, 11:02:42 PM »
Quote from: Virginia on March 09, 2018, 09:57:56 PM
From the dearly departed:

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Tax reform, tariff, and denuclearization Surge.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #704 on: March 10, 2018, 12:25:02 AM »
Seven Dee seats
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KingSweden
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« Reply #705 on: March 10, 2018, 11:17:07 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on March 09, 2018, 09:46:42 PM
So in the span of a week it went from 3 to 10 to 12 to 5. It moves too much.

Yeah it’s way too jumpy
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Gass3268
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« Reply #706 on: March 10, 2018, 11:54:48 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on March 10, 2018, 11:17:07 AM
Quote from: Holmes on March 09, 2018, 09:46:42 PM
So in the span of a week it went from 3 to 10 to 12 to 5. It moves too much.

Yeah it’s way too jumpy

I really hate daily tracking polls. Gallup going to weekly is much better from a methodological stand point. Now if only Rassy and Ipsos can join them.
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Doimper
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« Reply #707 on: March 10, 2018, 01:18:56 PM »

He has his own special isolation thread now.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #708 on: March 10, 2018, 03:10:58 PM »

Great
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #709 on: March 12, 2018, 01:57:05 PM »
NY-11 Republican Primary: Donovan and Grimm both release polls showing a lead respectively.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #710 on: March 12, 2018, 01:59:08 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 12, 2018, 01:57:05 PM
NY-11 Republican Primary: Donovan and Grimm both release polls showing a lead respectively.



That's quite a difference.
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Doimper
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« Reply #711 on: March 12, 2018, 05:52:49 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 12, 2018, 01:57:05 PM
NY-11 Republican Primary: Donovan and Grimm both release polls showing a lead respectively.



lol
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KingSweden
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« Reply #712 on: March 12, 2018, 07:35:01 PM »
Let’s just say that Donovan’s looks closer to the realm of reality
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Badger
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« Reply #713 on: March 12, 2018, 10:00:58 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on March 12, 2018, 07:35:01 PM
Let’s just say that Donovan’s looks closer to the realm of reality

Average the two out in Donovan leads 47 to 28. Fwiw, that is my completely unsupported gut instinct as to how the race stands. Grim carries too much baggage even for notoriously corrupt and mobbed-up Staten Island GOP to beat an unindicted incumbent.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #714 on: March 13, 2018, 12:16:06 AM »
Civiqs asks participants to join a survey via email.

I get updates from them every so often; doesn’t seem high quality
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KingSweden
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« Reply #715 on: March 13, 2018, 08:54:00 AM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on March 13, 2018, 12:16:06 AM
Civiqs asks participants to join a survey via email.

I get updates from them every so often; doesn’t seem high quality

Daily Kos runs it.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #716 on: March 13, 2018, 12:05:54 PM »
From a Limo post that was moved, but still have vaule here (minus any editorial):

GWU Battleground poll. Last poll was in August: https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll63-charts.pdf

Democrats - 49 (+5)
Republicans - 40 (+2)

Also...
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #717 on: March 13, 2018, 06:42:20 PM »
Change Research (D-internal) for CA-48: Rohrabacher, 29; Keirstead, 13.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #718 on: March 13, 2018, 06:43:30 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 13, 2018, 06:42:20 PM
Change Research (D-internal) for CA-48: Rohrabacher, 29; Keirstead, 13.

Can you link?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #719 on: March 13, 2018, 06:47:29 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on March 13, 2018, 06:43:30 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 13, 2018, 06:42:20 PM
Change Research (D-internal) for CA-48: Rohrabacher, 29; Keirstead, 13.

Can you link?
This is the poll after candidates were described. Keirstead is the leading Democrat presumably because he's mentioned as the CDP-backed candidate in the alleged candidate description.
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super6646
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« Reply #720 on: March 13, 2018, 06:50:21 PM »
Wait, Limo has been sent into Atlas hell never to be seen again?
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #721 on: March 13, 2018, 09:55:45 PM »
Remember remember this November when GOP is done!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #722 on: March 13, 2018, 10:52:11 PM »
Quote from: super6646 on March 13, 2018, 06:50:21 PM
Wait, Limo has been sent into Atlas hell never to be seen again?

Not quite. His posts are being... “curated.”
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #723 on: March 13, 2018, 11:44:49 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 13, 2018, 09:55:45 PM
Remember remember this November when GOP is done!



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Badger
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« Reply #724 on: March 13, 2018, 11:55:01 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 13, 2018, 11:44:49 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 13, 2018, 09:55:45 PM
Remember remember this November when GOP is done!



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While it's unrealistic to expect uniform swings, let alone of that magnitude, it's fair to say that in anything CLOSE to that great a landslide a few still-red districts on this map like MI-1 and WV-3 would also fall.
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