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Author Topic: Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread  (Read 912617 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #50 on: April 27, 2022, 03:12:28 AM »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #51 on: April 27, 2022, 03:16:36 AM »
From the Armed Forces of Ukraine:

https://t.me/lumsrc/1466

Quote
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: In the Izyum direction, Russian troops captured the outskirts of the settlement of Velyka Komyshuvakha, took control of the Zavody and conducted offensive operations in the direction of Barvinkovo
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #52 on: April 27, 2022, 04:31:45 AM »
Source: https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-26

Quote
Russian forces have adopted a sounder pattern of operational movement in eastern Ukraine, at least along the line from Izyum to Rubizhne. Russian troops are pushing down multiple roughly parallel roads within supporting distance of one another, allowing them to bring more combat power to bear than their previous practice had supported. Russian troops on this line are making better progress than any other Russian advances in this phase of the war. They are pushing from Izyum southwest toward Barvinkove and southeast toward Slovyansk. They are also pushing several columns west and south of Rubizhne, likely intending to encircle it and complete its capture. The Russian advances even in this area are proceeding methodically rather than rapidly, however, and it is not clear how far they will be able to drive or whether they will be able to encircle Ukrainian forces in large numbers.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #53 on: April 27, 2022, 07:51:50 AM »

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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #54 on: April 28, 2022, 02:38:50 AM »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #55 on: April 28, 2022, 02:42:52 AM »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #56 on: April 28, 2022, 03:47:40 AM »
« Edited: April 28, 2022, 03:51:04 AM by SirWoodbury »
Quote from: Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil on April 28, 2022, 02:44:22 AM
The question as usual is, at what cost are they obtaining these gains.
Ukrainian conscription will likely make life quite difficult for Russia down the line.
Well most of those advances was a result of UA forces retreating due to them being exposed to heavy shelling, so most likely not critical.

Also nice of the posters above to use Michael MacKay as a source and again make dumbfounded claims. 300 supposed Russian KIAs in one day and probably more casualties/wounded as a result, from supposedly taking villages, yet UA had the means to count and confirm these while at the same time doing withdrawals and under fire in the span of under 24 hours, with no photographs, drone footage, POWs, radio, etc.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #57 on: April 28, 2022, 04:01:41 AM »
Recommend to use this livemap by Henry Schlottman:

https://uawardata.com/

Incredibly insightful and detailed. He cites sources and makes daily insights without making to bold assumptions.

Quote
DATE
April 27th, 2022

ASSESSMENT
0600 UTC: Russia made methodical progress toward their likely objective of cutting Ukrainian lines of communication in northern Donbas. In the Kurul'ka, they are now approximately 10 kilometers from the key city of Sloviansk. Russian forces also began entering Yampil, potentionally seeking to establish another bridgehead over the river Siverskyi Donets. It is unlikely Sloviansk will fall quickly however and Ukrainian resistance shows no signs of weakening as both sides continue to move additional forces into the area. Tensions are escalating in Transnistria, but Russian forces there are unlikely to be capable of any major offensive action
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #58 on: April 28, 2022, 07:27:18 AM »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #59 on: April 28, 2022, 10:52:55 AM »

Pretty big that someone like him would be there.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #60 on: April 29, 2022, 04:10:46 AM »
The ruble is now at it's strongest since Oct last year. Good job Biden you idiot.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #61 on: April 29, 2022, 06:44:17 AM »
Quote from: Middle-aged Europe on April 29, 2022, 04:41:53 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on April 29, 2022, 04:10:46 AM
The ruble is now at it's strongest since Oct last year. Good job Biden you idiot.

Is this criticism directed towards any specific political action Biden should or should not have taken or he is he just a form of boogeyman and scapegoat for you?
Biden announced to the whole world that the ruble was going to turn into "rubble"... It didn't.

Now he looks even more weak.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #62 on: April 30, 2022, 02:23:32 AM »

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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #63 on: April 30, 2022, 06:34:56 AM »
https://www.reuters.com/world/more-than-1-mln-people-evacuated-ukraine-russia-since-feb-24-says-lavrov-2022-04-30/

Lavrov claims more than 1 million people have been "evacuated" from Ukraine into Russia since Feb. 24
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #64 on: April 30, 2022, 09:29:59 AM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovych on April 30, 2022, 09:28:01 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on April 30, 2022, 08:58:44 AM
https://t.me/opersvodki/4112

Protest/blockade happening in front of a enlistment center in Khust, Western Ukraine, by wives and relatives due to mobilization of men.

I ask you once again, Sir Woodbury, not to spread Russian false propaganda. This is a Russian Telegram channel that supports the killings of Ukrainians and spreads fakes to discredit Ukraine and support certain public opinion in Russia about "Nazis in Ukraine" and "success of Russian army".

In fact, we do not have any protests against mobilization now. Honestly, the queue of those who want to go to war is much larger than those who are called up. Several of my friends wanted to go to the front voluntarily, they passed a medical commission - they were told to wait and that they would be called if necessary, but for now they can live a normal life. There are many people among my acquaintances, distant relatives, and their acquaintances who want to go to the front, but who are simply not invited.
Alright. I'll delete it.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #65 on: April 30, 2022, 09:32:31 AM »
But it's not false, this event was filmed in the Far West from a Ukrainian, so the primary source/video isn't propaganda.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #66 on: April 30, 2022, 01:05:54 PM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovych on April 30, 2022, 09:41:57 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on April 30, 2022, 09:32:31 AM
But it's not false, this event was filmed in the Far West from a Ukrainian, so the primary source/video isn't propaganda.

You understand that it depends on how you describe what is happening on the video. I personally see a crowd of women and men near one of the city's administrative buildings. I'm not sure what kind of building it is, what kind of crowd it is and what purpose it was for. Only one what I can say unequivocally is that they are not protesting against mobilization. I will try to find out what it really was and write later.
Nah, thank you. I'll admit I usually am very cautious when it comes to Russian telegrams, so I went around and looked, but apparently I dropped the ball on it. Sorry.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #67 on: May 02, 2022, 03:46:48 AM »
Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/more-civilians-evacuated-around-azovstal-plant-reuters-photographer-2022-05-01/

Haven't seen this mentioned. The UN has started evacuations from Azovstal. Zelensky has said that so far 100 civilians have been evacuated from the steel plant.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #68 on: May 03, 2022, 01:30:31 AM »
Battle for Lyman has started.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #69 on: May 03, 2022, 08:21:17 AM »
Street to street fighting in Lyman. Possible mass mobilization in Russia?
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #70 on: May 03, 2022, 11:27:28 AM »
The problem for the Ukrainians holding Lyman is that since the bridge through the Seversky Donets is blown up, they can't be resupplied by land.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #71 on: May 03, 2022, 02:36:57 PM »
Civilian evacuations happening in Lyman as the Russians are shelling and assaulting the city.

Source: https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-05-03-22/h_7bf7e3a57d39d36109199befdc6a7e73
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #72 on: May 04, 2022, 08:44:39 AM »
« Edited: May 04, 2022, 08:49:24 AM by SirWoodbury »
Russians are storming Azovstal again, with some units entering the plant. The legitimate mayor of Mariupol, Boychenko, has lost contact with the defenders.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/05/4/7343969/
https://t.me/ukrinform_news/68445
https://twitter.com/tweetsNV/status/1521839560736473088
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #73 on: May 05, 2022, 04:30:11 AM »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,165


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30
« Reply #74 on: May 05, 2022, 04:33:45 AM »
« Edited: May 05, 2022, 04:37:45 AM by SirWoodbury »
The leader of Azov, Prokopenko, has confirmed that Russians have entered the territory of the steel plant.
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