Which of these are safe for Biden?
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June 25, 2024, 09:57:42 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Which of these are safe for Biden?
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Poll
Question: 43 day poll
#1
CO
 
#2
ME
 
#3
MI
 
#4
MN
 
#5
NV
 
#6
NH
 
#7
PA
 
#8
NE2
 
#9
VA
 
#10
WI
 
#11
None of the above
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 23

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Author Topic: Which of these are safe for Biden?  (Read 188 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 16, 2024, 09:18:12 AM »

If he loses AZ, GA, and all the states states Trump won in 2020 he would need all except NV which gets him to 270.

I don't think he is safe in all the states listed, so he needs to target many of them obviously and already has.

Can he get to 270?
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2024, 09:20:24 AM »
« Edited: June 16, 2024, 03:53:03 PM by °Leprechaun »

Correction. This a 42 day poll.
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Biden Stans Are Cringelords
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #2 on: June 16, 2024, 09:22:20 AM »

He is 100% safe in CO & VA. He is 95% safe in ME/NH/MN, the only thing that could cost him those states is if the third party share exceeds 2016, which is unlikely imo. While I wouldn't describe it as safe, NE2 is very likely to to remain with Biden. In the rest of the states he has a decent chance to lose.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: June 16, 2024, 09:29:21 AM »

He is 100% safe in CO & VA. He is 95% safe in ME/NH/MN, the only thing that could cost him those states is if the third party share exceeds 2016, which is unlikely imo. While I wouldn't describe it as safe, NE2 is very likely to to remain with Biden. In the rest of the states he has a decent chance to lose.
This is a good take, but he could lose states like ME and MN, if Trump targets them but Biden ignores them.
I am sure they will both fight for PA which is crucial, but Biden needs to be careful not to ignore certain states.
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iceman
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« Reply #4 on: June 16, 2024, 09:34:47 AM »

Colorado and New Hampshire only. I’m 99.99% certain these states will not vote for Trump.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #5 on: June 16, 2024, 09:41:05 AM »

Define “safe”
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2024, 09:58:16 AM »

Maybe 99% chance.
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PeteB
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« Reply #7 on: June 16, 2024, 11:16:08 AM »

CO, VA and likely ME. The rest could swing.
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