2030 redistricting predictions megathread

[kwabbit]

In New York, if things continue to degrade for Democrats, they can just pack the Orthodox and Soviet parts of South Brooklyn with Staten Island. I think it might be impossible to draw a clean no Zeldin-won seats map in NYC, but it's easy to draw one where Hochul won every seat easily except a SI sink. A fair map might become worse for Dems but there's so many 90+% D areas to dilute the GOP pockets with in a gerrymander.

[kwabbit]

For NJ, the parties have been alternating getting their preferred congressional and legislative maps. In 2010, the leg map was Dem and the congressional was GOP, then in 2020 the leg map was GOP and the congressional map was Dem. That might get thrown out and the Dems will have full control though.