6/18 Congressional Primaries Discussion: VA, OK, GA

[Proud Independent]

Bob Good will probably be McCarthy's only scalp on his revenge tour in total.

[Proud Independent]

Time for the first incumbent defeat of the cycle in Bob Bad, then probably another next week in Bowman.

I still don't really get why Bob Good is in so much danger...don't Republican primary electorates tend to love the furthest right insane MAGA candidate possible? I know he was an issue for McCarthy and during the election to replace him, but some Republicans who were *too* loyal to him have faced close calls this cycle.

One of the issues his voters have with him is that he keeps flip flopping, they don't know where he stands on certain issues.

[Proud Independent]

Bob Good is now Bob Gone. However, nothing will change regardless. Mcguire is pretty much the same minus the confrontational attitude that Good had towards the media. Hell, he might be even further right than Good on some issues.

[Proud Independent]

If Good survives this, hopefully he'd do some introspection and look as to why he was even vulnerable to a primary.


HINT- It wasn't just the Trump endorsement.

[Proud Independent]

If Bob Good goes down that's certainly going to embolden efforts to take out the likes of MTG, Boebert and Gaetz in future primaries. MTG and Gaetz seem to have gotten off easy this year and the establishment really fumbled the ball with Boebert this cycle.

For that to happen, Trump would have to turn on them because they weren't loyal... which seems highly highly unlikely.

[Proud Independent]

If Bob Good goes down that's certainly going to embolden efforts to take out the likes of MTG, Boebert and Gaetz in future primaries. MTG and Gaetz seem to have gotten off easy this year and the establishment really fumbled the ball with Boebert this cycle.

For that to happen, Trump would have to turn on them because they weren't loyal... which seems highly highly unlikely.

Yeah, if Good got Trump's endorsement he'd be winning with 70%+ right now.

Exactly. The establishment has already tried to take out both MTG and Gatez in previous cycles and has miserably failed. Trump endorsing the establishment's preferred candidate could be the match that starts the flame.

[Proud Independent]

If Bob Good goes down that's certainly going to embolden efforts to take out the likes of MTG, Boebert and Gaetz in future primaries. MTG and Gaetz seem to have gotten off easy this year and the establishment really fumbled the ball with Boebert this cycle.

For that to happen, Trump would have to turn on them because they weren't loyal... which seems highly highly unlikely.

If Bob Good goes down that's certainly going to embolden efforts to take out the likes of MTG, Boebert and Gaetz in future primaries. MTG and Gaetz seem to have gotten off easy this year and the establishment really fumbled the ball with Boebert this cycle.

The same MTG that Trump is encouraging to run for Senate and the same Gaetz Trump is encouraging to run for Governor? If there’s anything we can take away from this primary, it’s that GOP base voters like people who are willing to antagonize the establishment. McGuire had all the advantages (including Trump’s endorsement) and he’s still struggling.

Steve King lost his 2020 primary and Trump didn't endorse Feenstra.

Madison Cawthorn lost his 2022 primary and Trump didn't endorse Edwards. In fact, he stood by Cawthorn.

It's possible to take out far-right freedom caucus members in a primary if they becomes problems for the caucus and there's an actual effort to do so. I'm not writing off primary challenges to any of them after these examples happened.

The problem with the aforementioned is that a good chunk of their core constituents was turned off by revelations from King & Cawthorne. As of now, Gatez & MTG are seemingly BELOVED by their constituents. That could change for Gatez if something serious comes out during the ethics probe, really doubtful that happens for Greene.

[Proud Independent]

I wonder if Jamaal Bowman and Cori Bush will hold up better than expected in their upcoming races?

Bowman definitely won't - his tactics have gotten so extreme and scattered that he's got the entire Dem party almost coming out to endorse his opponent right before the election, and record-high turnout in Jewish areas of the district. It's fascinating in how bad he's doing.

Bush, I can't say as well because the NY race has sucked all the air out of the room.

Keep in mind this was taken in February, but it appears Bush is in the same boat as Bowman if not worse.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4464073-cori-bush-trailing-democratic-primary-challenger-by-22-points-poll/