Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 08, 2024, 09:11:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  International General Discussion (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread
« previous next »
Thread note
ATTENTION: Please note that copyright rules still apply to posts in this thread. You cannot post entire articles verbatim. Please select only a couple paragraphs or snippets that highlights the point of what you are posting.


Pages: 1 ... 968 969 970 971 972 [973] 974 975 976 977 978 ... 1182
Author Topic: Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread  (Read 979451 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24300 on: July 12, 2023, 05:47:41 AM »

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/07/12/7410958/

"Ukraine's Foreign Minister hopes F-16s will appear in Ukrainian skies early next year"
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,934
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24301 on: July 12, 2023, 08:46:41 AM »

Cruise missiles allowing Ukrainians to continue depopulating the Russian high command

Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24302 on: July 12, 2023, 09:53:44 AM »

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-show-gratitude-west-support-ben-wallace-nato/

"Ukraine must show ‘gratitude’ to the West to keep support, UK defense minister warns"



More making friends and influencing people in action, only this time from the UK.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24303 on: July 12, 2023, 10:48:55 AM »

In Putin's Russia vacation takes you:

Logged
Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦
Oleg
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,042
Kazakhstan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24304 on: July 12, 2023, 10:52:43 AM »

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-show-gratitude-west-support-ben-wallace-nato/

"Ukraine must show ‘gratitude’ to the West to keep support, UK defense minister warns"



More making friends and influencing people in action, only this time from the UK.
Headline manipulation. The article itself evokes the opposite impression. If you really want to know about "making friends and influencing people", you could read the channel of the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. Here are the last three posts, for example (machine translation):

https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/351
Quote
Sleepy senile Biden said that two years ago in Geneva he denied the President of Russia guarantees that Ukraine would not join NATO.  Like "I’m done, I didn’t cave in to the Russians!"

Then, however, he shamefully fled from Afghanistan.  Then, to hide the shame, he ruined the economy of Europe.  Subsequently, having delivered hundreds of tons of weapons to Ukraine, he unleashed an extremely dangerous protracted conflict with Russia, as a result of which the Kiev regime is destroying the remnants of its country.  Now, having exhausted all resources, he promises cluster charges and again beckons neo-Nazis in Kyiv with the NATO perspective, the realization of which means a third world war.

Why is he doing this?
The easiest way is to think that this is the course of any American leader and US deep government: to dominate and limit other countries.  Especially obstinate ones like ours.

You can also say that he is a sick old man who is in severe dementia.  Like he doesn't know what he's doing.  Trump and a large part of Americans are screaming about this.

Or maybe everything is different?  Maybe the dying old man, obsessed with unhealthy fantasies, simply decided to leave gracefully, provoking nuclear Armageddon and taking half of humanity with him to the next world ...


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/352
Quote
If an attempt to attack the Smolensk (Desnogorsk) NPP with NATO missiles is confirmed, it is necessary to consider the scenario of a simultaneous Russian strike on the South Ukrainian NPP, Rovno NPP and Khmelnitsky NPP, as well as on nuclear facilities in Eastern Europe.  There is nothing to be ashamed of here.


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/353
Quote
Preliminary results of the NATO summit.
 Just like we thought:

1. Action Plan for Ukraine's membership in the Alliance (MAP) - cancel.  Kind of take it faster.

 2. To call the "404 country" to NATO.  But they will accept - it is not known when and under what conditions.

 Quite possibly never.  And that's what realists in the Alliance are afraid to say out loud.

3. To increase military assistance to the Kyiv regime.  Everything that is possible: rockets, cluster charges, airplanes.
 The completely crazy West could not come up with anything else.  Predictability of the highest level, to the point of idiocy.  In fact, it's a dead end.  World War III is getting closer.

 What does all this mean for us?  Everything is obvious.

The special military operation will continue with the same goals.

 One of them is the refusal of the Kyiv Nazi group from membership in NATO, which we insisted on from the very beginning (which is impossible).


This means that this group will have to be eliminated (which is possible and necessary).

P.S. It was reported that Tokmak was shelled with cluster munitions.  So, it's time to uncover our arsenals of this inhumane weapon.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24305 on: July 12, 2023, 10:53:29 AM »

There's been a major tone shift from Zelensky today:



Logged
Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24306 on: July 12, 2023, 10:55:52 AM »

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-show-gratitude-west-support-ben-wallace-nato/

"Ukraine must show ‘gratitude’ to the West to keep support, UK defense minister warns"



More making friends and influencing people in action, only this time from the UK.
Headline manipulation. The article itself evokes the opposite impression. If you really want to know about "making friends and influencing people", you could read the channel of the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. Here are the last three posts, for example (machine translation):

https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/351
Quote
Sleepy senile Biden said that two years ago in Geneva he denied the President of Russia guarantees that Ukraine would not join NATO.  Like "I’m done, I didn’t cave in to the Russians!"

Then, however, he shamefully fled from Afghanistan.  Then, to hide the shame, he ruined the economy of Europe.  Subsequently, having delivered hundreds of tons of weapons to Ukraine, he unleashed an extremely dangerous protracted conflict with Russia, as a result of which the Kiev regime is destroying the remnants of its country.  Now, having exhausted all resources, he promises cluster charges and again beckons neo-Nazis in Kyiv with the NATO perspective, the realization of which means a third world war.

Why is he doing this?
The easiest way is to think that this is the course of any American leader and US deep government: to dominate and limit other countries.  Especially obstinate ones like ours.

You can also say that he is a sick old man who is in severe dementia.  Like he doesn't know what he's doing.  Trump and a large part of Americans are screaming about this.

Or maybe everything is different?  Maybe the dying old man, obsessed with unhealthy fantasies, simply decided to leave gracefully, provoking nuclear Armageddon and taking half of humanity with him to the next world ...


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/352
Quote
If an attempt to attack the Smolensk (Desnogorsk) NPP with NATO missiles is confirmed, it is necessary to consider the scenario of a simultaneous Russian strike on the South Ukrainian NPP, Rovno NPP and Khmelnitsky NPP, as well as on nuclear facilities in Eastern Europe.  There is nothing to be ashamed of here.


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/353
Quote
Preliminary results of the NATO summit.
 Just like we thought:

1. Action Plan for Ukraine's membership in the Alliance (MAP) - cancel.  Kind of take it faster.

 2. To call the "404 country" to NATO.  But they will accept - it is not known when and under what conditions.

 Quite possibly never.  And that's what realists in the Alliance are afraid to say out loud.

3. To increase military assistance to the Kyiv regime.  Everything that is possible: rockets, cluster charges, airplanes.
 The completely crazy West could not come up with anything else.  Predictability of the highest level, to the point of idiocy.  In fact, it's a dead end.  World War III is getting closer.

 What does all this mean for us?  Everything is obvious.

The special military operation will continue with the same goals.

 One of them is the refusal of the Kyiv Nazi group from membership in NATO, which we insisted on from the very beginning (which is impossible).


This means that this group will have to be eliminated (which is possible and necessary).

P.S. It was reported that Tokmak was shelled with cluster munitions.  So, it's time to uncover our arsenals of this inhumane weapon.

What is the point of having a headline and an article in conflict like that? Perhaps that's the real question.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24307 on: July 12, 2023, 11:05:50 AM »

Did he really expect to be invited after blaming NATO for causing the war? lol


Logged
Oleg 🇰🇿🤝🇺🇦
Oleg
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,042
Kazakhstan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24308 on: July 12, 2023, 11:12:12 AM »

Headline manipulation. The article itself evokes the opposite impression. If you really want to know about "making friends and influencing people", you could read the channel of the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. Here are the last three posts, for example (machine translation):

https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/351
Quote
Sleepy senile Biden said that two years ago in Geneva he denied the President of Russia guarantees that Ukraine would not join NATO.  Like "I’m done, I didn’t cave in to the Russians!"

Then, however, he shamefully fled from Afghanistan.  Then, to hide the shame, he ruined the economy of Europe.  Subsequently, having delivered hundreds of tons of weapons to Ukraine, he unleashed an extremely dangerous protracted conflict with Russia, as a result of which the Kiev regime is destroying the remnants of its country.  Now, having exhausted all resources, he promises cluster charges and again beckons neo-Nazis in Kyiv with the NATO perspective, the realization of which means a third world war.

Why is he doing this?
The easiest way is to think that this is the course of any American leader and US deep government: to dominate and limit other countries.  Especially obstinate ones like ours.

You can also say that he is a sick old man who is in severe dementia.  Like he doesn't know what he's doing.  Trump and a large part of Americans are screaming about this.

Or maybe everything is different?  Maybe the dying old man, obsessed with unhealthy fantasies, simply decided to leave gracefully, provoking nuclear Armageddon and taking half of humanity with him to the next world ...


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/352
Quote
If an attempt to attack the Smolensk (Desnogorsk) NPP with NATO missiles is confirmed, it is necessary to consider the scenario of a simultaneous Russian strike on the South Ukrainian NPP, Rovno NPP and Khmelnitsky NPP, as well as on nuclear facilities in Eastern Europe.  There is nothing to be ashamed of here.


https://t.me/medvedev_telegram/353
Quote
Preliminary results of the NATO summit.
 Just like we thought:

1. Action Plan for Ukraine's membership in the Alliance (MAP) - cancel.  Kind of take it faster.

 2. To call the "404 country" to NATO.  But they will accept - it is not known when and under what conditions.

 Quite possibly never.  And that's what realists in the Alliance are afraid to say out loud.

3. To increase military assistance to the Kyiv regime.  Everything that is possible: rockets, cluster charges, airplanes.
 The completely crazy West could not come up with anything else.  Predictability of the highest level, to the point of idiocy.  In fact, it's a dead end.  World War III is getting closer.

 What does all this mean for us?  Everything is obvious.

The special military operation will continue with the same goals.

 One of them is the refusal of the Kyiv Nazi group from membership in NATO, which we insisted on from the very beginning (which is impossible).


This means that this group will have to be eliminated (which is possible and necessary).

P.S. It was reported that Tokmak was shelled with cluster munitions.  So, it's time to uncover our arsenals of this inhumane weapon.

What is the point of having a headline and an article in conflict like that? Perhaps that's the real question.
The usual shocking to attract attention to the publication, no? Zelensky always thanks the allies, for example, in January and April of this year. But for a person who is protected by another person from the attack of a rabid bear, it is not so important how many times it was said "thank you" with a bloodied mouth, as for a third person who, with the help of cunning manipulations, set this bear on both of them and is trying to manipulate also these people in order to quarrel between them.
Logged
Red Velvet
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,418
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24309 on: July 12, 2023, 12:11:55 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2023, 12:17:18 PM by Red Velvet »

There's been a major tone shift from Zelensky today:




Looks like someone got reminded of their lower tier position in all this hehe

That Zelenskyy photo in NATO was hilarious.

To Ukraine’s credit, their leadership is not the most cringe thing about those news posted. UK still manages to top it by acting like that annoying student that acts like “a message boy” to other kids about what the teacher wants.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24310 on: July 12, 2023, 12:33:49 PM »

There's been a major tone shift from Zelensky today:




Looks like someone got reminded of their lower tier position in all this hehe

That Zelenskyy photo in NATO was hilarious.

To Ukraine’s credit, their leadership is not the most cringe thing about those news posted. UK still manages to top it by acting like that annoying student that acts like “a message boy” to other kids about what the teacher wants.

Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24311 on: July 12, 2023, 12:41:01 PM »

Logged
Red Velvet
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,418
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24312 on: July 12, 2023, 12:51:09 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2023, 12:56:11 PM by Red Velvet »


The absolute worst mistake that a “non-western” or “peripheral western” (ex: Latin America; Eastern Europe) nation can do is start believing they’re western and acting like it in these foreign meetings as if they will be seen or treated as such.

Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect.

What strikes me about Zelenskyy is how even before the war he acted like he had all these powerful countries in his bag just because he antagonized Russia. Like that would make them instantly part of the same club and they would suddenly be the best of friends chatting, playing together and going to the movies.

Being useful just doesn’t mean having an unconditional friendship. It never will. In the end pf the day for these people Ukraine is still mostly only a way to weaken Russia, without a real strategic value that would really make them put their heads out of their comfort zone to protect - which I think it would be the case for Taiwan for the US.
Logged
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,233
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24313 on: July 12, 2023, 01:36:23 PM »


The absolute worst mistake that a “non-western” or “peripheral western” (ex: Latin America; Eastern Europe) nation can do is start believing they’re western and acting like it in these foreign meetings as if they will be seen or treated as such.

Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect.

What strikes me about Zelenskyy is how even before the war he acted like he had all these powerful countries in his bag just because he antagonized Russia. Like that would make them instantly part of the same club and they would suddenly be the best of friends chatting, playing together and going to the movies.

Being useful just doesn’t mean having an unconditional friendship. It never will. In the end pf the day for these people Ukraine is still mostly only a way to weaken Russia, without a real strategic value that would really make them put their heads out of their comfort zone to protect - which I think it would be the case for Taiwan for the US.

Why would Zelensky be in the 2nd photo? Those are the leaders of member states, which Ukraine isn't, and Ukraine obviously isn't going to be admitted while an active war is going on on its territory.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24314 on: July 12, 2023, 01:48:31 PM »

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-12/nato-is-papering-over-the-cracks-after-zelenskiy-loses-his-cool

"NATO Is Papering Over the Cracks After Zelenskiy Loses His Cool"



Quote
The Ukrainian president had been angered earlier in the day by what he said was an “absurd” reluctance to give his country a clear timeline on membership. 
That outburst in turn riled the partners who have funneled billions of dollars of weaponry and aid into Ukraine’s defense against the Russian invasion — the US had been given no warning before Zelenskiy unleashed his attack on social media.  

It seems by the second day of the Summit Zelensky has cooled down.   It is clear what Zelensky wanted was for Ukraine to join NATO ASAP so he can get NATO troops into Ukraine ASAP.  And if he cannot have that then he needs something concrete to bring back to his domestic audience.  When he realized he was going to get neither I guess he had to blow off some steam.
Logged
Red Velvet
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,418
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24315 on: July 12, 2023, 02:08:30 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2023, 02:12:16 PM by Red Velvet »

The problem is Zelenskyy believing he would have even a minimal chance of getting those stuff though. As if it were so easy and automatic.

I’m at a point where I am extremely confused on whether the guy has delusions of grandeur about their geopolitical standing or if they were really misled by others to believe they were entitled to something when reality is very different. The latter is so stupid error that I simply prefer thinking of the guy in the first way, as if he was just arrogant and delusional.

Maybe a mix of both? Ukraine has been delusional since before the war on the matter but after the war began and the West made this global mobilization propaganda for them while also sending tons of stuff, they probably got even more emboldened to have a wrong idea about the nature of the support they get and how much involved Western powers are regarding it.
Logged
Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24316 on: July 12, 2023, 02:13:38 PM »

The problem is Zelenskyy believing he would have even a minimal chance of getting those stuff though. As if it were so easy and automatic.

I’m at a point where I am extremely confused on whether the guy has delusions of grandeur about their geopolitical standing or if they were really misled by others to believe they were entitled to something when reality is very different.

Maybe a mix of both? Ukraine has been delusional since before the war on the matter but after the war began and the West made this global mobilization propaganda for them while also sending tons of stuff, they probably got even more emboldened to have a wrong idea about the nature of the support they get and how much involved Western powers are regarding it.
For what it's worth, Ukraine is still small compared to Russia in everything but industrial capacity. (The Tsars and the Soviets did a lot to develop the region, reaping dividends the area is collecting to this day)
This means it will need either a) a mutually peaceable relationship with Russia, or b) the aid of the collective West. (Preferably both)
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24317 on: July 12, 2023, 02:14:27 PM »


The absolute worst mistake that a “non-western” or “peripheral western” (ex: Latin America; Eastern Europe) nation can do is start believing they’re western and acting like it in these foreign meetings as if they will be seen or treated as such.

Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect.

What strikes me about Zelenskyy is how even before the war he acted like he had all these powerful countries in his bag just because he antagonized Russia. Like that would make them instantly part of the same club and they would suddenly be the best of friends chatting, playing together and going to the movies.

Being useful just doesn’t mean having an unconditional friendship. It never will. In the end pf the day for these people Ukraine is still mostly only a way to weaken Russia, without a real strategic value that would really make them put their heads out of their comfort zone to protect - which I think it would be the case for Taiwan for the US.

The statement below is complete malarkey because if they weren't "western enough for the wills of EU or US" then why were they let into NATO and the EU at all? Eastern European countries like Poland wanted to join NATO so they'd have the security of having Articles 5, which would prevent their countries from (once again) being invaded by Russia. This is the same reason why Ukraine currently wants to join NATO.

"Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect."

The reason the "these people" won't let Ukraine join NATO right now is because that would immediately bring NATO directly into the conflict. This isn't some cynical plan to weaken Russia by sacrificing Ukraine, as this was a war of choice on the part of Russia. Ukraine is simply trying to survive and it's completely fair for its government to want NATO membership as soon as possible in order to guarantee the nation's survival.

It's just not realistic for a military alliance add a country currently at war with that alliance's main adversary. Do the American, British, French, Italian, Dutch, Canadian, etc. publics want to see their nation's soldiers fighting and dying in Ukraine? In the end, that's why Ukraine was only given a vague promise of NATO membership once undefined conditions allow.

Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24318 on: July 12, 2023, 02:19:09 PM »


The absolute worst mistake that a “non-western” or “peripheral western” (ex: Latin America; Eastern Europe) nation can do is start believing they’re western and acting like it in these foreign meetings as if they will be seen or treated as such.

Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect.

What strikes me about Zelenskyy is how even before the war he acted like he had all these powerful countries in his bag just because he antagonized Russia. Like that would make them instantly part of the same club and they would suddenly be the best of friends chatting, playing together and going to the movies.

Being useful just doesn’t mean having an unconditional friendship. It never will. In the end pf the day for these people Ukraine is still mostly only a way to weaken Russia, without a real strategic value that would really make them put their heads out of their comfort zone to protect - which I think it would be the case for Taiwan for the US.

The statement below is complete malarkey because if they weren't "western enough for the wills of EU or US" then why were they let into NATO and the EU at all? Eastern European countries like Poland wanted to join NATO so they'd have the security of having Articles 5, which would prevent their countries from (once again) being invaded by Russia. This is the same reason why Ukraine currently wants to join NATO.

"Even countries like Poland or other Eastern European, who are part of NATO when Ukraine isn’t, are aware on some level that they aren’t western or western enough for the wills of EU or US no matter how much they cater to what they want or expect."

The reason the "these people" won't let Ukraine join NATO right now is because that would immediately bring NATO directly into the conflict. This isn't some cynical plan to weaken Russia by sacrificing Ukraine, as this was a war of choice on the part of Russia. Ukraine is simply trying to survive and it's completely fair for its government to want NATO membership as soon as possible in order to guarantee the nation's survival.

It's just not realistic for a military alliance add a country currently at war with that alliance's main adversary. Do the American, British, French, Italian, Dutch, Canadian, etc. publics want to see their nation's soldiers fighting and dying in Ukraine? In the end, that's why Ukraine was only given a vague promise of NATO membership once undefined conditions allow.



A tangent to this thought:

This conundrum of refusing Ukrainian NATO membership before the war in order to prevent conflict with Russia and now refusing Ukrainian NATO membership because there's a war going on with Russia is why I feel the West's biggest mistake was to not give Ukraine NATO membership after 2014. West Germany was given NATO membership in 1955 with disputed borders. Yes there was the issue of the "separatists" in the Donbass, but at that time it was still technically an internal Ukrainian matter. So it could have been left for Ukrainian authorities to deal with, without forcing the rest of NATO to get involved.

If Ukraine had been a NATO member in 2022, there's no doubt in my mind Putin would not have invaded. Vladimir Putin may be many things, but he's not stupid. He knew NATO wouldn't get directly involved if he invaded, and he was right. That would not have been the case if Ukraine was a member of NATO. There's a reason the "historically Russian lands" of Baltic states haven't been invaded by Russia, while the "historically Russian lands" of Ukraine have.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24319 on: July 12, 2023, 02:22:44 PM »


A tangent to this thought:

This conundrum of refusing Ukrainian NATO membership before the war in order to prevent conflict with Russia and now refusing Ukrainian NATO membership because there's a war going on with Russia is why I feel the West's biggest mistake was to not give Ukraine NATO membership after 2014. West Germany was given NATO membership in 1955 with disputed borders. Yes there was the issue of the "separatists" in the Donbass, but at that time it was still technically an internal Ukrainian matter. So it could have been left for Ukrainian authorities to deal with, without forcing the rest of NATO to get involved.

If Ukraine had been a NATO member in 2022, there's no doubt in my mind Putin would not have invaded. Vladimir Putin may be many things, but he's not stupid. He knew NATO wouldn't get directly involved if he invaded, and he was right. That would not have been the case if Ukraine was a member of NATO. There's a reason the "historically Russian lands" of Baltic states haven't been invaded by Russia, while the "historically Russian lands" of Ukraine have.

But could not one flip it around?  If Ukraine and NATO state that there is zero chance that Ukraine will join NATO the chances of a Russian invasion decrease dramatically.
Logged
Red Velvet
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,418
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24320 on: July 12, 2023, 02:34:30 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2023, 02:43:24 PM by Red Velvet »

The problem is Zelenskyy believing he would have even a minimal chance of getting those stuff though. As if it were so easy and automatic.

I’m at a point where I am extremely confused on whether the guy has delusions of grandeur about their geopolitical standing or if they were really misled by others to believe they were entitled to something when reality is very different.

Maybe a mix of both? Ukraine has been delusional since before the war on the matter but after the war began and the West made this global mobilization propaganda for them while also sending tons of stuff, they probably got even more emboldened to have a wrong idea about the nature of the support they get and how much involved Western powers are regarding it.
For what it's worth, Ukraine is still small compared to Russia in everything but industrial capacity. (The Tsars and the Soviets did a lot to develop the region, reaping dividends the area is collecting to this day)
This means it will need either a) a mutually peaceable relationship with Russia, or b) the aid of the collective West. (Preferably both)

Not having a peaceful relationship with Russia is stupid and suicidal when you’re neighbors to them though.

I mean, why not have both of the things you mention? It’s geopolitics 101 for countries that are geopolitically limited by sharing a border with a much more powerful neighbor than them.

Do people think Mexico does business with US because they enjoy being called rapists and murderers on front of the entire global stage? Or because they can exist while getting some minimal but decent amount of investment; high number of tourists; etc?

You either becomes friends with your neighbor if the relationship can be beneficial in some minimal level to you and if just cannot, then you just keep things cordial by being neutral. Not antagonizing them but playing some “both sides” sh**t where you get economic deals with 3rd parties simultaneously as you play nice with your neighbor on the front.

But noooo, they just had to want it all and really enter NATO and EU, while the government openly trashtalked Russia like they were able to sustain this position by themselves or as if they had the collective West on their pockets. Neutrality was always the best path for them.

You only play big words if you really have the means to stand up for it or others have already guaranteed that you have this option. Ukraine never had the NATO membership locked and yet you would think they always had it by the way they acted even before and during the war.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,922
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24321 on: July 12, 2023, 02:40:11 PM »

Just a reminder of the horrors Ukraine is facing 
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,493
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24322 on: July 12, 2023, 02:42:29 PM »

The problem is Zelenskyy believing he would have even a minimal chance of getting those stuff though. As if it were so easy and automatic.

I’m at a point where I am extremely confused on whether the guy has delusions of grandeur about their geopolitical standing or if they were really misled by others to believe they were entitled to something when reality is very different.

Maybe a mix of both? Ukraine has been delusional since before the war on the matter but after the war began and the West made this global mobilization propaganda for them while also sending tons of stuff, they probably got even more emboldened to have a wrong idea about the nature of the support they get and how much involved Western powers are regarding it.
For what it's worth, Ukraine is still small compared to Russia in everything but industrial capacity. (The Tsars and the Soviets did a lot to develop the region, reaping dividends the area is collecting to this day)
This means it will need either a) a mutually peaceable relationship with Russia, or b) the aid of the collective West. (Preferably both)

Not having a peaceful relationship with Russia is stupid and suicidal when you’re neighbors to them though.

I mean, why not have both of the things you mention? It’s geopolitics 101 for countries that are geopolitically limited by sharing a border with a powerful neighbor.

Do people think Mexico does business with US because they enjoy being called rapists and murderers on front of the entire global stage? Or because they can exist while getting some minimal but decent amount of investment; high number of tourists; etc?

You either becomes friends with your neighbor if the relationship can being beneficial in some minimal level to you and if just cannot, then you just keep things cordial by being neutral. Not antagonizing them but playing some “both sides” sh**t where you get economic deals with 3rd parties simultaneously as you play nice with your neighbor on the front.

But noooo, they just had to want it all and really enter NATO and EU, while the government openly trashtalked Russia like they were able to sustain this position by themselves or as if they had the collective West on their pockets. Neutrality was always the best path for them.

You only play big words if you really have the means to stand up for it or others have already guaranteed that you have this option.

Russia invaded and annexed internationally recognized Ukrainian territory. What was Ukraine supposed to do, pretend none of that happened and pursue a good relationship with Russia?
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24323 on: July 12, 2023, 02:46:38 PM »


Russia invaded and annexed internationally recognized Ukrainian territory. What was Ukraine supposed to do, pretend none of that happened and pursue a good relationship with Russia?

Actually yes.  I would give the same advice to Mexico in 1848.
Logged
Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24324 on: July 12, 2023, 02:53:32 PM »


Russia invaded and annexed internationally recognized Ukrainian territory. What was Ukraine supposed to do, pretend none of that happened and pursue a good relationship with Russia?

Actually yes.  I would give the same advice to Mexico in 1848.
Not at all inherently bad advice.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 968 969 970 971 972 [973] 974 975 976 977 978 ... 1182  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.083 seconds with 9 queries.