How does the 2016 Election play out if Dems hold up strong in 2014
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June 25, 2024, 01:00:18 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  How does the 2016 Election play out if Dems hold up strong in 2014
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Author Topic: How does the 2016 Election play out if Dems hold up strong in 2014  (Read 169 times)
America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« on: June 13, 2024, 03:01:55 PM »

Lets say:

Kay Hagan, Mark Udall, and Mark Begich win in races resembling their real life races
Tom Harkin and Max Baucus run for re-election and win again
Mary Landrieu wins re-election in the runoff due to a demoralized Republican base
Republicans still flip WV, AR, and SD to reduce the Dem US Senate edge to 52-48
Republicans net 5 seats in the House, losing NH-01, WV-02, IL-10, IA-01, FL-26, TX-23, AZ-02, and NV-04
Charlie Crist, Martha Coakley, Paul Davis, Anthony Brown, and Pat Quinn win their Gubernatorial races

How does this impact the 2016 election
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dw93
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2024, 02:00:16 PM »

If Trump is still the nominee or Cruz ends up with it, Hillary wins. I think a lot of center right voters that reluctantly backed Trump due to the Supreme Court vacancy would stay home if the Democratic senate fills the vacancy left on the Supreme Court by Scalia’s death.
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2024, 11:59:58 PM »

Hillary might win. I remember a lot of young Democrats not voting because "nothing would change".

The narrative was Hillary would win and maybe Democrats win the senate. But Republicans would keep the house. Nothing would be done for healthcare, housing, student loans, jobs etc. Just more symbolic executive orders.

My theory is that the 18-25 demographic in 2016 came of age during the Obama era of divided government and gridlock. The pessimism and hopleness of the Great Recessions still lingered.

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