Washington state megathread

[RI]

A big dump now, mostly from the southern part of the state. Close race between Hobbs and Fraser for second in LtGov. Treasurer still RvR.

[RI]

Most of the west side now reporting. Habib pulls ahead of Hobbs and Fraser. Still R vs. R for Treasurer. Erin Jones pulls ahead for SPI.

[RI]

WA-04 currently R vs. R: Newhouse vs Didier rematch
WA-07: Jayapal in first, McDermott just ahead of Walkinshaw for second

[RI]

Big vote dump from King county area and others - now Inslee is up big.

As would be expected; if Inslee weren't ahead, he'd be in big trouble.

That said, he is below 50% and cratering in the Yakima area.

[RI]

Wyman's running about even with 2012 when she barely won, though she seems to be doing slightly better in Pierce County/SW Washington.

[RI]

Cathy McMorris Rodgers is actually doing a lot worse than I was expecting.

[RI]

Thanks to our state's wonderful top 2 primary the Treasurer race (at least according to SOS website) is R v R at the current moment.  3 Democrats splitting the vote and 2 Republicans splitting the vote.

Dang it WA.  I was so looking forward to finally achieving the WA, OR, CA no Republican elected to statewide office.

Wyman would probably win in November anyway, though.

[RI]

Anyone have any insight on how Marty McClendon of all people (who has zero political experience) is leading the LtGov race?

[RI]

Two party breakdown for King County (US Senate race):
Seattle: 88-12 Democrat
Suburbs: 65-35 Democrat
Total: 74-26 Democrat

Yes, you read that right. King County was 65% Democrat without Seattle.

Eh, the Senate race isn't really that competitive though.

[RI]

There isn't much difference between Waite and Davidson. Both are anti-income tax, anti-deficit spending. The main difference is that one's a politician and one's a Wall Street financial management guy.

Davidson, the politician, has most of the big endorsements (Wyman, Reed, other county treasurers from both parties). Waite is backed by McKenna and some Republican state senators.

If I had to pick one, Davidson is probably slightly more likely to play nice with the establishment whereas Waite might be more hardline.

[RI]

There isn't much difference between Waite and Davidson. Both are anti-income tax, anti-deficit spending. The main difference is that one's a politician and one's a Wall Street financial management guy.

Davidson, the politician, has most of the big endorsements (Wyman, Reed, other county treasurers from both parties). Waite is backed by McKenna and some Republican state senators.

If I had to pick one, Davidson is probably slightly more likely to play nice with the establishment whereas Waite might be more hardline.

If Waite is more hardline, why'd McKenna endorse him?

Pretty sure Reed and Wyman are more moderate than McKenna, who sued Obama over the mandate.

[RI]

Unfortunately I'm on a dumb Linux computer so I can't properly make maps, but I'm processing the final precinct results and have every county but King (will have today) and Wahkiakum (idk they're terrible).

Don't worry; I'm already on it.

[RI]

First few maps--

WA-01:


WA-03:


WA-04 (Blue is Newhouse, Green is Didier):


WA-05:


WA-07 (Red is Jayapal, Blue is Keller, Green is Walkinshaw, Yellow is McDermott):


WA-08 (Red is Ventrella, Green is Ramos, Yellow is Skold):


WA-08, Dems only (Red is Ventrella, Green is Ramos, Yellow is Skold):


WA-10:

[RI]

US Senator (Green is Makus, Orange is Nazarino, Purple is Luke):


Governor:


Lt. Governor (Blue is McClendon, Red is Habib, Green is Fraser, Yellow is Hobbs, Orange is Yin, Purple is Wallace; Figueroa, Penor, and Addis also show up as alt-colors in a couple precincts):


Secretary of State:


State Treasurer (Blue is Davidson, Red is Liias, Green is Waite, Yellow is Comerford, Orange is Fisken):


State Auditor (Blue is Miloscia, Red is McCarthy, Green is Sprung):


Average Total D vs. Average Total R:

[RI]

lol @ Gigi Ferguson handily winning the Evergreen campus.  I wonder what that's about?  It's too many votes to just be random chance, and Ferguson even mentioned "family values" in her voters' statement.   Plus I thought Heck was an alum.

Ferguson's also an Evergreen alum. Her voter statement is very activist-y and progressive; I'm not seeing any mention of "family values" specifically. Plus she's a black woman running against three white men.

Funnily enough, Wyman only got 1.86% at Evergreen which is the worst of any of the major GOP candidates despite her being by far the strongest of any GOP candidate in Thurston County.

[RI]

A few quickies (colors are same as above unless mentioned otherwise):

CPL (Red is Franz, Green is Upthegrove, Yellow is Verner)


CPL, D only (Orange is Porterfield, Purple is Stillings)


Auditor, D only (Red is McCarthy, Green is Sprung)


Insurance Comm


Lt. Gov, D only


Treasurer, D only


WA-08, D only

[RI]

Why did you vote no on I-1501?

[RI]

Most of my ballot:

I-1433: Yes
I-1464: No
I-1491: No
I-1501: Yes
I-732: No
I-735: Yes

US Senator: Chris Vance
US Representative: Joe Pakootas
Governor: Bill Bryant
Lt Governor: Cyrus Habib
Secretary of State: Kim Wyman
Treasurer: Duane Davidson
Auditor: Mark Miloscia
Attorney General: Bob Ferguson
CPL: Steve McLaughlin
SPI: Chris Reykdal
Insurance Comm: Mike Kreidler

State Sen: Write-in
State Rep: Mary Dye

Supreme Court: DeWolf, Madsen, Wiggins
Court of Appeals: Fearing

[RI]

Why so many (D)'s voting for an (R) Treasurer?

Both candidates are Republican due to the Top Two Primary.

[RI]

After sitting on it a week, I finally filled out the Presidential portion of my ballot and sent it off... My wife and I both wrote-in Michael Maturen. So that's one fewer Obama voter and one fewer Romney voter going for a major party candidate.

[RI]

Initial Snohomish County results
Arlington: Trump 51.2, Clinton 37.9, Johnson 5.8, WI 3.5
Bothell: Clinton: 59.0, Trump 30.6, Johnson 5.5, WI 2.9
Brier: Clinton 57.5, Trump 31.9, Johnson 5.6, WI 3.0
Edmonds: Clinton 64.9, Trump 25.7, Johnson 4.1, WI 3.2
Everett: Clinton 56.7, Trump 32.2, Johnson 4.8, WI 3.2, Stein 2.2
Granite Falls: Trump 47.9, Clinton 38.3, Johnson 6.6, WI 3.6
Lake Stevens: Clinton 46.5, Trump 41.1, Johnson 6.2, WI 3.6
Lynnwood: Clinton 62.3, Trump 28.1, Johnson 4.3, WI 2.4
Marysville: Trump 44.7, Clinton 43.3, Johnson 6.2, WI 3.2
Mill Creek: Clinton 57.1, Trump 33.5, Johnson 4.7, WI 3.0
Monroe: Clinton 44.3, Trump 42.6, Johnson 6.4, WI 3.7
Mountlake Terrace: Clinton 67.0, Trump 22.9, Johnson 4.8, WI 2.7
Mukilteo: Clinton 60.2, Trump 30.6, Johnson 4.6, WI 3.0
Snohomish: Clinton 48.9, Trump 38.2, Johnson 6.2, WI 3.7, Stein 2.1
Stanwood: Trump 48.3, Clinton 39.6, Johnson 5.7, WI 4.0
Sultan: Trump 49.2, Clinton 36.1, Johnson 7.6, WI 3.6, Stein 2.5
Tulalip: Clinton 54.5, Trump 38.1, Johnson 3.6
Woodway: Clinton 53.6, Trump 37.1, Johnson 5.1, WI 3.4

[RI]

Some more results from around the state:

City	County	Clinton	Trump	Johnson	Stein
Othello	Adams	42.3	51.4	4.3
Ritzville	Adams	25.0	68.8	4.2
Forks	Clallam	34.4	58.6	4.3
Port Angeles	Clallam	51.9	40.8	4.5
Sequim	Clallam	51.1	43.4	3.0
Aberdeen	Grays Harbor	43.6	48.9	4.7
Hoquiam	Grays Harbor	47.2	44.5	5.2
Ocean Shores	Grays Harbor	47.8	47.0	3.2
Camano Island	Island	46.5	47.1	4.7
Oak Harbor	Island	38.9	50.6	7.7
Port Ludlow	Jefferson	52.8	41.3	4.0
Port Townsend	Jefferson	77.7	14.5	2.4	4.7
Bainbridge Island	Kitsap	80.1	14.6	3.6
Bremerton	Kitsap	54.2	34.7	7.6
Port Orchard	Kitsap	44.9	45.0	7.6
Anacortes	Skagit	56.1	37.8	4.0
Burlington	Skagit	44.9	46.8	6.0
Mount Vernon	Skagit	55.0	38.3	4.5
Sedro-Wooley	Skagit	42.0	49.5	5.8
Cheney	Spokane	48.0	39.0	8.2
Liberty Lake	Spokane	35.9	56.5	6.0
Spokane	Spokane	52.4	38.0	5.7
Spokane Valley	Spokane	37.1	54.1	5.9
Lacey	Thurston	54.5	36.7	6.0
Olympia	Thurston	70.5	20.9	3.8	4.0
Tumwater	Thurston	56.3	34.4	5.9
Yelm	Thurston	33.0	54.8	9.2
College Place	Walla Walla	35.9	56.1	6.1
Walla Walla	Walla Walla	47.8	46.0	4.0
Pullman	Whitman	69.8	21.5	5.7

[RI]

Clark County flipped to Trump by 5 votes.

[RI]

Does anyone have any inclination why Whitman County's turnout is down over 50% from 2012? It's not like the population's declined.

[RI]

If Pullman turnout is low, why did Whitman go blue this year after being a Romney county?

Among (many) other things, all the Romney-voting Mormons here (~5% of the pop) wrote-in McMullin or didn't vote.