Bad Atlas takes: 90s edition

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Can Dole win back Vermont in 1996?

PurpleHeartRepublican (R-PA): I think it's clear that Vermont voting for the Southerner Clinton over good Northeastern Republican George H.W. Bush was a fluke. Polling this year is oversampling Democrats. Dole will win back Vermont by a few points.

BackToTheFarm (R-NE): I have a good feeling about Republicans this election cycle, I think people will look past Gingrich and keep in mind Clinton's womanizing. He's just a hick who got elected President, like Carter. Stories like Jennifer Flowers and Whitewater are definitely going to sink Democrats in some places and I feel that Olympia Snowe can win on a low-tax message and pull Dole over the top perhaps even in Maine. Suburban women who put Rs on the top in 1994 will pull the lever again for Republicans in 1996. Soccer moms! Anyway, Deep South Democrats don't get re-elected President, didn't we learn anything from 1980?

WeGotDiamonds (D-AR): I look forward to you underestimating our commander in chief! He'll crush Dole in November! Call him a hick all you want. As a hick I am proud of Willy and he'll win the key swing states in November.

PurpleHeartRepublican (R-PA): Bill and Hillary aren't the best leaders for our great country, if you ask me. And I know an Arkansas Democrat will love Bill and Hillary. But the median swing voter will ask questions, about Whitewater, about whether they can trust a man of this slick character, and probably they will say, I'll go for Dole instead. He's an earnest man needed for our times. And he'll also win Vermont. He's got the support of Senator Jeffords after all.

HenryRossStudioPierrot (I-CA): Nah. Vermont is trending Dem and immigration isn't something people care about in the Green Mountain State. It's not as competitive as California is...I think right now I see California flipping narrowly, because Perot voters will support Dole and put him narrowly on top over Clinton there.

RainbowCoalition (D-MI): Vermont is very very white. It's whiter than the white bread I just bought. Practically no African-American voters there. So I can't say. It's not like New York, Illinois, or Michigan.

Hillary4President2000 (D-FL): Bill and Hillary will win Vermont easily, as they have the support of Governor Dean, Senator Sanders, and trends going back decades. Seeing you think that Vermont will flip back is funny. I hope you continue to think so on Election Day. Face it, it's not the 1980s, and Reagan isn't on the ballot anymore. Even if he was you'd have lost 1992.

MarjoliesDidNothingWrong (O-PA): As a suburban woman who voted for Specter in 1992 and a strong supporter of balanced budgets and good schools I have to say you don't understand. Tom Ridge is a good governor but Gingrich needs a check on his power and Dole just isn't going to be tough enough. Slick Willy it is. And Vermont will vote alongside me.

Proposition187ForLife (R-CA): Illegal immigration is a serious issue even in Vermont. Most illegal immigrants aren't like Apu. They increase our school classroom sizes and take out more than they put in. Vermont will vote for Dole.