Georgia Supreme Court Election (user search)
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June 24, 2024, 07:18:08 AM
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Author Topic: Georgia Supreme Court Election  (Read 6277 times)
Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: May 21, 2024, 06:37:28 PM »

It's a nonpartisan race with little $$ spent compared to Wisconsin. Still concerning for Dems.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2024, 10:19:58 PM »

These coalitions are just wild.Atlanta burbs basically voting how they did before the big black population increase- Henry and Rockdale a good example. Yet Forsyth Barrow gets 38%. Don’t pretend this means anything for November- it won’t.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2024, 07:46:01 AM »

These coalitions are just wild.Atlanta burbs basically voting how they did before the big black population increase- Henry and Rockdale a good example. Yet Forsyth Barrow gets 38%. Don’t pretend this means anything for November- it won’t.

Something weird though, it seems while Barrow underperformed in Democratic swinging white areas like east Cobb and Buckhead, he still fell significantly less in those areas than in places like Clayton County. It looks a bit like what an election would look like if only white people voted (at least in the Atlanta region).

The direction of the trend is more of the Dems concern, not the overall numbers. If Trump gets 15% of the black vote he still loses Henry, Rockdale, Douglas by a ton but will more than have enough votes to win GA.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2024, 01:27:32 PM »

I'll be called a hack but Pinson only winning by 10 is a good result IMO for Barrow/Dems.

Nothing was spent on this race - Barrow barely spent over $1M. People say they got mailers for Pinson but nothing from Barrow. Yes, Barrow pushed abortion rights, but it seems that only the most tuned in folks actually saw that. Almost everyone else was either swayed by name rec (Barrows old district) or incumbency on the ballot, with an incumbent who doesn't seem to have any scandals.

The fact that Barrow was able to still get 45% of the vote despite all of that actually tells me that his message was able to break through to some folks. I imagine 80% of voters did not know the details of this race or who was who, and just went with incumbent. But the fact that Barrow still got through to 45% of voters while spending $1M against a normal incumbent in a nonpartisan race is not bad at all imo.


You should sell timeshares

I mean, just look at the results. The Atlanta Metro area pretty much shows that most of those voters and in other areas really had no idea about this race at all. They likely just saw 'incumbent' and ticked the box.


Black voters in Atlanta metro saw that Barrow was aligned with the democrat party and decided not to vote for him

You can just make up anything you want to fit your narrative

Could some black voters who did not pay attention think Pinson was African-American? The last name seems common among them.
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Devils30
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2024, 02:34:14 PM »

This election means close to nothing but if Barrow pulled off the win you wouldn't hear the end of it on here and how Trump is doomed in Georgia.


Anyway Barrow overperformed literally everywhere statewide except the black belt and inner ring Atlanta either a large amount of black voters stayed home or voted Pinson.

If anything this map shows what happens when people randomly pick names. Things even out all across the board.
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