French National Assembly Elections, 06/30-07/07

[Flyersfan232]

Macron really has been the best president Le Pen could have ever dreamed of.

All the smug liberals who believed his superficial image back in 2017 and 2022 must be feeling proud of themselves. Except no, they’ve also been radicalised out of the sheer refusal to acknowledge they were a part of the problem.

reminds me of someone else from canada

[Flyersfan232]

Yeah, this is Macron gambling that people will get cold feet about voting for the RN in an election that actually matters - and thus will grant him a whole new mandate by default. Unfortunately I think he's wrong.

Agreed. Not sure whether he has to name a RN prime minister then, but the election probably makes him an even more lame duck than he already was. A bad day for EU when France is increasingly not to govern.

If RN wins an absolute majority, he will have to appoint Bardella, or else trigger a constitutional crisis. If RN just wins a plurality, things can get really tricky. Still hard to see what alternative coalition he could cobble together.

rn could just make le pen leader again of the party and marcon will be force to appoint her

[Flyersfan232]

Also joined Front Populaire

the hypocrite front

[Flyersfan232]

What exactly can Ciotti do at this point?

If the vast majority of LR is against him and has been expelled, does he lose the LR "party line" in his constituency? does he run as an independent? It is possible that he goes as far as runs with the help (direct or indrirect) or RN?

This is such a weird situation that I guess you can't predict it, but curious what theories are there.

There's no proof that the "vast" majority of the party is against him. So far it's just the party executives/establishment and as we learned with Trump in 2015, both of those do not always align. If he believes he still has the confidence of the base, he has no reason to leave for now. Because deep down, while most LR dislike the RN, I have yet to see a single républicain who has unambiguously stated that they'd vote LFI over RN. But the opposite has happened already.

the politicans arent the base

[Flyersfan232]

Honestly,Mélenchon is the reason why the left cannot win in France, too scary and too sectarian.

Good

[Flyersfan232]

since marcon will still control defense and foregin policy will the minister for though departments be from his party?

[Flyersfan232]

Marie-Caroline Le Pen is standing in Sarthe-4

On the poster is her sister, Marine, and her daughter's boyfriend, Bardella. Very Cosa Nostra. I wonder what nickname should the forum create for her? Panzertante?

are marine children involved in the party?

[Flyersfan232]

How many members of this accursed tribe are there?

It's a common name in Brittany, meaning "The Head" in Breton. But only the women seem to be successful politicians, so the dynasty name won't survive much longer.

JM is still kicking about at age 96.

Marine has three kids all from first marriage that lasted between 1994-2000 so all are in their mid to early 20s currently

[Flyersfan232]

So do anyone outside of Corsica and mainland France ever get talked about as prime minister candidate or a presidential candidate?

[Flyersfan232]

The left haven’t name a prime minister candidate yet?

[Flyersfan232]

I think Hollande's campaing overall helps. It makes NUPES be seen as a big coalition where moderates can take a place, and no one expects him to run things. It´s like if Powell had run for the House in 2012 under the GOP.
How do you think very pro-Israel jews "concerned about inmigration" will vote?

no it don’t guy left office with 4% approval

[Flyersfan232]

So how many win outright?