TX (UT Texas/YouGov): Cruz +11

[Sir Mohamed]

Cruz - 45%
Allred - 34%

Meanwhile, Biden is only down by 7, 46-39%.

https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/most-gop-voters-say-former-president-didn%E2%80%99t-get-fair-trial-new-york-trump-maintains-46-39-lead

[Terry the Fat Shark]

(poll conducted by YouGov)

[SnowLabrador]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

[Sir Mohamed]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

It was always a longshot. MT and OH are the most worrisome, obviously. Meanwhile, I believe Dems have a good shot at holding AZ while Dems are favored in PA, WI and MI as well. I don't even consider PA competitive. Neither is Kaine in danger.

[They not like us]

Likely R, as expected. Democrats shouldn't waste a ton of resources on the Senate race, but investing in some of the closer house districts to at least bring the margins down to potentially flip Cornyn's seat in 2026 would be wise, especially if it's a Trump midterm. I don't think Texas will flip in a Presidential election year for at least another cycle or two.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

It was always a longshot. MT and OH are the most worrisome, obviously. Meanwhile, I believe Dems have a good shot at holding AZ while Dems are favored in PA, WI and MI as well. I don't even consider PA competitive. Neither is Kaine in danger.

Ds are putting their baskets in FL

[Proud Independent]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

I'm really not shocked. Besides being African American and not being Ted Cruz, what does Allred offer? He seems like a less charismatic Beto. It also doesn't help his case that he's running with Biden on the ticket who has pretty much been a disaster on immigration/ the border. And is just only doing something, clearly because we're rapidly approaching the election so he's just trying to soften the blow regarding his approval rating of handling the aforementioned issues.

[Spectator]

Likely R, as expected. Democrats shouldn't waste a ton of resources on the Senate race, but investing in some of the closer house districts to at least bring the margins down to potentially flip Cornyn's seat in 2026 would be wise, especially if it's a Trump midterm. I don't think Texas will flip in a Presidential election year for at least another cycle or two.

2028 after a second Trump term would be very much a real possibility, and I’d frankly be almost surprised if it didn’t (provided Democrats actually competed).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

That was always the path of least resistance. I would prefer any resources being considered for Florida and Texas go to Montana and Ohio instead.

[SnowLabrador]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

That was always the path of least resistance. I would prefer any resources being considered for Florida and Texas go to Montana and Ohio instead.

For a while I thought Texas would be easier for Democrats than Montana, but I think I underestimated the value of incumbency. I mean, it's the reason Senate Democrats are running 5-10 points ahead of Biden.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

That was always the path of least resistance. I would prefer any resources being considered for Florida and Texas go to Montana and Ohio instead.

For a while I thought Texas would be easier for Democrats than Montana, but I think I underestimated the value of incumbency. I mean, it's the reason Senate Democrats are running 5-10 points ahead of Biden.

Incumbency is quite powerful, yes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, this isn't flipping. The burden is now on Democrats to hold both Ohio and Montana, as well as all of their swing-state seats.

That was always the path of least resistance. I would prefer any resources being considered for Florida and Texas go to Montana and Ohio instead.

We are contesting FL S still

[Unelectable Bystander]

Not surprising when you look at the job approval numbers for Cruz. The only constituency he’s unpopular with is atlas Dems.